Within neighborhood
44
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Chagrin-Lee Eviction Risk: Moderate , Shaker Heights
Tract 39035183402 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 1,798 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 39035183402 covers part of the Chagrin-Lee area of Shaker Heights, OH, and scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,798. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units800
Renter share41.4%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate13.3%
Median income$58,958
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
90
th percentile
Very High
Within county
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
57
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Shaker Heights and the region
Centroid at 41.4701, -81.5765 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chagrin-Lee scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Shaker Heights
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.7
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
13.3% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,117 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shaker Heights
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shaker Heights
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shaker Heights
4.2
How Chagrin-Lee compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 49%Socioeconomic
- 45%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 59%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 56%Grade A
- 43%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 273Total filings over 12 yrs
- 8.95%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.4%Peak (2008)
- 18Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Chagrin-Lee. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.6%Housing insecurity
- 10.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.3%Food insecurity
- 12.7%SNAP enrollment
- 8.3%Transit barriers
- 5.4%No health insurance
- 13.8%Frequent mental distress
- 28.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chagrin-Lee
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10. 50% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Cuyahoga County average of 43.0%.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 273 filings here across 12 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2008, when 17.4% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 8.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.4/10. It tracks the Cuyahoga County average of 4.6 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,117, close to the Shaker Heights average. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $58,958.
41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39035183402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035183402?
Census tract 39035183402 in the Chagrin-Lee neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39035183402?
Median gross rent is $1,117/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39035183402?
13.3% of residents in tract 39035183402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,798.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39035183402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 45th, minority 90th, housing 59th.
Q5
Is tract 39035183402 considered part of Chagrin-Lee?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035183402 fall within Chagrin-Lee (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035183402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 273 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39035183402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.95% of renter households, peaking at 17.4% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39035183402 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39035183402 compare to Shaker Heights overall?
Tract 39035183402 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Shaker Heights at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shaker Heights eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39035183402 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Shaker Heights
Top eight tracts in Shaker Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Chagrin-Lee
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Van Aken District
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
Fairfax Triangle
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
Chagrin-Lee
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
Chagrin-Lee
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
Van Aken District
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
Chagrin-Lee
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OH
Chagrin-Lee
3
/ 10 · Low
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