Neighborhood · Ranked #26,932 of 84,120 nationally

Chagrin-Lee Eviction Risk: Moderate , Shaker Heights

Tract 39035183603 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 1,600 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

The Chagrin-Lee area of Shaker Heights anchors census tract 39035183603, which lands at 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 52nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

28% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 5% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,105 a month while the average household earns $47,875 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 66% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 47% Owners 34%

Tract context

Occupied units690

Renter share65.9%

SVI overall0.46

Poverty rate15.1%

Median income$47,875

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Shaker Heights and the region

Centroid at 41.4608, -81.5687 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chagrin-Lee scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Shaker Heights

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.7

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

15.1% poverty · this tract

3.8

Supply constraint

$1,105 rent vs county FMR

4.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Shaker Heights

4.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Shaker Heights

8.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Shaker Heights

4.2

How Chagrin-Lee compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

34%Socioeconomic
75%Household composition
94%Racial/ethnic minority
24%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

1%Grade A
98%Grade B
1%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

259Total filings over 12 yrs
10.96%Avg annual filing rate
18.2%Peak (2008)
17Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2004 to 2016

Filings climbed 113% over the past 12 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Chagrin-Lee. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

16.7%Housing insecurity
13.2%Utility-shutoff threat
18.8%Food insecurity
16.1%SNAP enrollment
10.1%Transit barriers
6.0%No health insurance
14.9%Frequent mental distress
28.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chagrin-Lee

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Shaker Heights eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Cuyahoga County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 259 eviction filings here over 12 tracked years, with about 11.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 18.2% of renter households in 2008.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39035183603

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035183603?

Census tract 39035183603 in the Chagrin-Lee neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39035183603?

Median gross rent is $1,105/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39035183603?

15.1% of residents in tract 39035183603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,600.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39035183603?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 75th, minority 94th, housing 24th.

Is tract 39035183603 considered part of Chagrin-Lee?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035183603 fall within Chagrin-Lee (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035183603?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 259 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39035183603 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.96% of renter households, peaking at 18.2% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 39035183603 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39035183603 compare to Shaker Heights overall?

Tract 39035183603 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Shaker Heights at 5.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shaker Heights eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 39035183603 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Shaker Heights

Top eight tracts in Shaker Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.