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Neighborhood · Ranked #33,355 of 84,120 nationally

Chagrin-Lee Eviction Risk: Moderate , Shaker Heights

Tract 39035183606 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 1,825 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 5.8/10, tract 39035183606 in the Chagrin-Lee area of Shaker Heights ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 1,825 residents. On the national scale it ranks #27,472 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 53% of renter households, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,268 monthly, set against $89,508 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 18% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units777
Renter share38.4%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate5.0%
Median income$89,508

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileBottomTop
#7 of 10 tracts In Chagrin-Lee
Low
Within parent city
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileBottomTop
#7 of 11 tracts In Shaker Heights
Moderate
Within county
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileBottomTop
#256 of 427 tracts In Cuyahoga County
Moderate
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileBottomTop
#723 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Shaker Heights and the region

Centroid at 41.4608, -81.5506 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chagrin-Lee scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Shaker Heights
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.7
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
5.0% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,268 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shaker Heights
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shaker Heights
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shaker Heights
4.2

How Chagrin-Lee compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Chagrin-Lee risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 183606Shaker Heights: 5.55.5Shaker Heightsparent cityCounty: 5.35.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.54.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 7

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

  • 175Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 7.89%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.3%Peak (2009)
  • 15Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390351836062004: 13 filings (5.31/100 renter HHs)2005: 9 filings (6.00/100 renter HHs)2006: 17 filings (11.33/100 renter HHs)2007: 20 filings (13.33/100 renter HHs)2008: 19 filings (12.67/100 renter HHs)2009: 23 filings (15.33/100 renter HHs)2010: 14 filings (5.53/100 renter HHs)2011: 12 filings (5.00/100 renter HHs)2012: 11 filings (4.58/100 renter HHs)2013: 11 filings (4.58/100 renter HHs)2015: 11 filings (4.58/100 renter HHs)2016: 15 filings (6.44/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 15% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Chagrin-Lee. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chagrin-Lee

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Shaker Heights eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cuyahoga County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 175 eviction filings here over 12 tracked years, with about 7.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 15.3% of renter households in 2009.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of A ("Best"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39035183606

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035183606?

Census tract 39035183606 in the Chagrin-Lee neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39035183606?

Median gross rent is $1,268/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39035183606?

5.0% of residents in tract 39035183606 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,825.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39035183606?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 36th, minority 73th, housing 2th.

Q5

Is tract 39035183606 considered part of Chagrin-Lee?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035183606 fall within Chagrin-Lee (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035183606?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 175 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39035183606 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.89% of renter households, peaking at 15.3% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 39035183606 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 39035183606 compare to Shaker Heights overall?

Tract 39035183606 scores 5.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Shaker Heights at 5.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shaker Heights eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q9

Was tract 39035183606 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Shaker Heights

Top eight tracts in Shaker Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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