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Neighborhood · Columbus, OH

Northgate Eviction Risk: Moderate

5 census tracts · pop 26,824 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10 · range 4.5–5.7

Northgate is a black-white neighborhood in Columbus with 5 census tracts and a population of 26,824 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 43% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 22% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,202/month sits 7% lower than the Columbus citywide average ($1,295).

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
5 tracts · population-weighted
Northgate vs Columbus How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
42.8% +49%
Columbus: 28.8%
Average gross rent
$1,202 -7%
Columbus: $1,295
Average HH income
$57,849 -11%
Columbus: $65,327
Poverty rate
22.0% +23%
Columbus: 17.9%
Renter share
67.2% +20%
Columbus: 55.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Northgate and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 4.5–5.7

Why Northgate scores 5.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
43% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
67% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
22.0% below poverty line · Range 3.5–6.8 across tracts
5.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.9–4.2 across tracts
3.3
Risk score comparison

Northgate vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Northgate score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Northgate: 5.15.1NorthgateNeighborhoodParent city: 3.13.1Parent cityhost cityState: 2.82.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Northgate?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.2 points from 4.5 to 5.7. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

5 tracts in Northgate

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
39049006945 5.7 6,406 44% $1,201
39049007115 5.4 5,743 46% $1,143
39049006992 5.2 4,786 44% $1,141
39049007114 4.5 5,242 52% $1,323
39049006944 4.5 4,647 25% $1,204
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 71

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 69%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 76%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 74%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 54%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Northgate

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 7,164Total filings (sum)
  • 10.25%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.8%Peak year (2013)
  • 8.75%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 3,843Total filings 2020-21
  • 10.7Avg monthly observed
  • 11.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.89×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Columbus, OH).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Northgate

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Northgate

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Northgate?

Northgate scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Northgate compare to Columbus overall?

Northgate scores 2.0 points higher than Columbus overall (3.1/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,202 vs $1,295.
Q3

What is the average rent in Northgate?

Average gross rent in Northgate is $1,202/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Northgate residents are renters?

67% of Northgate households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Columbus). The neighborhood has 26,824 residents.
Q5

Is Northgate a high social-vulnerability area?

Northgate sits in the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Northgate have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Northgate is census tract 39049006945 (score 5.7/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.5 to 5.7, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Northgate for landlords?

Northgate carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Columbus as a whole (3.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Northgate?

Northgate has 26,414 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (43%), White (non-Hispanic) (38.8%), Other / Multiracial (7.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Northgate

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Columbus

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Northgate.

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