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Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally

Northgate Eviction Risk: Moderate , Columbus

Tract 39049006992 · Franklin County, OH · pop 4,786 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 5.7/10, tract 39049006992 in the Northgate area of Columbus, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,786. This is renter territory: 89% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 50% Owners 10%
Tract context
Occupied units2,056
Renter share89.5%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate21.4%
Median income$48,860

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In Northgate
High
Within parent city
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#20 of 238 tracts In Columbus
Very High
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#52 of 328 tracts In Franklin County
High
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#353 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Columbus and the region

Centroid at 40.1062, -82.9729 · click any tract to drill in

Why Northgate scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Columbus
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
21.4% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$1,141 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Columbus
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Columbus
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Columbus
4.0

How Northgate compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Northgate risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.7This tracttract 0069924.3Columbusparent city4.4Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 918Total filings 2020-21
  • 11.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 9.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.25×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Columbus, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Northgate. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Northgate

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8/10. It sits 1.3 points above the Franklin County average of 4.4.

Food insecurity runs 28.7% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

At $1,141 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Columbus commands. Nationally it ranks #21,564 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 8.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

44% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $48,860.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 39049006992

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39049006992?

Census tract 39049006992 in the Northgate neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39049006992?

Median gross rent is $1,141/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39049006992?

21.4% of residents in tract 39049006992 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,786.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39049006992?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 75th, minority 83th, housing 51th.
Q5

Is tract 39049006992 considered part of Northgate?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39049006992 fall within Northgate (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 39049006992 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.25× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Columbus eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39049006992 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39049006992 compare to Columbus overall?

Tract 39049006992 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Columbus at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Columbus eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Columbus

Top eight tracts in Columbus ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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