Within neighborhood
25
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Northgate Eviction Risk: Moderate , Columbus
Tract 39049006944 · Franklin County, OH · pop 4,647 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 39049006944 covers part of the Northgate area of Columbus, OH, and scores 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Against Franklin County at 41.6%, about a quarter of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,958
Renter share23.8%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate18.8%
Median income$76,667
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
49
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
69
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Columbus and the region
Centroid at 40.1012, -82.9627 · click any tract to drill in
Why Northgate scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Columbus
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
18.8% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,204 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Columbus
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Columbus
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Columbus
4.0
How Northgate compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 34
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 57%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 19%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 428Total filings over 13 yrs
- 9.31%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.1%Peak (2010)
- 40Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 186% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 146Total filings 2020-21
- 1.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.68×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Columbus, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Northgate. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.8%Housing insecurity
- 9.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.4%Food insecurity
- 13.9%SNAP enrollment
- 8.8%Transit barriers
- 8.7%No health insurance
- 17.3%Frequent mental distress
- 29.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Northgate
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8/10.
Running cool, state political climate reads 2.4/10. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 428 filings here across 13 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2010, when 11.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 9.3% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #34,278 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 24% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.1/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Franklin County average of 4.4 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39049006944
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39049006944?
Census tract 39049006944 in the Northgate neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39049006944?
Median gross rent is $1,204/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39049006944?
18.8% of residents in tract 39049006944 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,647.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39049006944?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 57th, minority 56th, housing 19th.
Q5
Is tract 39049006944 considered part of Northgate?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39049006944 fall within Northgate (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39049006944?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 428 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39049006944 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.31% of renter households, peaking at 11.1% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 39049006944 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.68× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Columbus eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 39049006944 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 39049006944 compare to Columbus overall?
Tract 39049006944 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Columbus at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Columbus eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Columbus
Top eight tracts in Columbus ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Forest Park
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Holly Hill
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Franklinton
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Edgewood
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Framingham
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Natural Resources Park District
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Mayfair
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
French Quarter
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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