Within neighborhood
75
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally
Northgate Eviction Risk: Moderate , Columbus
Tract 39049007115 · Franklin County, OH · pop 5,743 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
With a score of 5.9/10, tract 39049007115 in the Northgate area of Columbus ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 5,743 residents. That is riskier than about 71% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 46% of renter households, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,143 a month while the average household earns $63,125 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 70% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units2,344
Renter share70.3%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate26.6%
Median income$63,125
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
85
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Columbus and the region
Centroid at 40.0865, -82.9397 · click any tract to drill in
Why Northgate scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Columbus
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
26.6% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$1,143 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Columbus
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Columbus
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Columbus
4.0
How Northgate compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 59%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,807Total filings over 13 yrs
- 13.26%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.8%Peak (2013)
- 221Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 25% over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 858Total filings 2020-21
- 11.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 19.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.58×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Columbus, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Northgate. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.7%Housing insecurity
- 15.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.5%Food insecurity
- 21.6%SNAP enrollment
- 13.0%Transit barriers
- 11.4%No health insurance
- 20.4%Frequent mental distress
- 30.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Northgate
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 6.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Columbus eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Franklin County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 19.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 15.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39049007115
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39049007115?
Census tract 39049007115 in the Northgate neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39049007115?
Median gross rent is $1,143/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39049007115?
26.6% of residents in tract 39049007115 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,743.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39049007115?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 91th, minority 77th, housing 87th.
Q5
Is tract 39049007115 considered part of Northgate?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39049007115 fall within Northgate (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39049007115?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,807 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39049007115 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.26% of renter households, peaking at 14.8% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 39049007115 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.58× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Columbus eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 39049007115 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 39049007115 compare to Columbus overall?
Tract 39049007115 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Columbus at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Columbus eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Columbus
Top eight tracts in Columbus ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
South Campus
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Franklinton
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Eastland
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Tuttle Park
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Weinland Park
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Peach District
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Holly Hill
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Sawyer Manor
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
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