Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally
Northgate Eviction Risk: Moderate , Columbus
Tract 39049006945 · Franklin County, OH · pop 6,406 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
How risky is the Northgate neighborhood of Columbus for landlords? Census tract 39049006945 scores 5.9/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #24,571 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 44% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,201 monthly, set against $47,029 in average yearly household income, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 89% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 50%
Owners 11%
Tract context
Occupied units2,457
Renter share88.9%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate27.4%
Median income$47,029
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Columbus and the region
Centroid at 40.0925, -82.9580 · click any tract to drill in
Why Northgate scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Columbus
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
27.4% poverty · this tract
6.8
Supply constraint
$1,201 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Columbus
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Columbus
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Columbus
4.0
How Northgate compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 86%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 69%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 3,052Total filings over 13 yrs
- 11.63%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.2%Peak (2002)
- 240Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 1,690Total filings 2020-21
- 22.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 18.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.17×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Columbus, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Northgate. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 27.1%Housing insecurity
- 20.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.9%Food insecurity
- 32.5%SNAP enrollment
- 17.4%Transit barriers
- 15.7%No health insurance
- 23.1%Frequent mental distress
- 35.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Northgate
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 6.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Columbus eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Franklin County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.17x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39049006945
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39049006945?
Census tract 39049006945 in the Northgate neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39049006945?
Median gross rent is $1,201/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39049006945?
27.4% of residents in tract 39049006945 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,406.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39049006945?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 86th, minority 87th, housing 69th.
Q5
Is tract 39049006945 considered part of Northgate?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39049006945 fall within Northgate (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39049006945?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3,052 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39049006945 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.63% of renter households, peaking at 13.2% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 39049006945 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.17× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Columbus eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 39049006945 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 39049006945 compare to Columbus overall?
Tract 39049006945 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Columbus at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Columbus eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Columbus
Top eight tracts in Columbus ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
South Campus
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Eastland
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Franklinton
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Weinland Park
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Peach District
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Holly Hill
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Sawyer Manor
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Northwood Park
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
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