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Neighborhood · Lorain, OH

Downtown Lorain Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 9,837 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 3.9–6

Downtown Lorain is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Lorain with 4 census tracts and a population of 9,837 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 49% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 25% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $871/month sits 2% lower than the Lorain citywide average ($887).

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown Lorain vs Lorain How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
49.0% +51%
Lorain: 32.5%
Average gross rent
$871 -2%
Lorain: $887
Average HH income
$35,411 -23%
Lorain: $45,799
Poverty rate
36.7% +34%
Lorain: 27.4%
Renter share
58.3% +36%
Lorain: 42.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downtown Lorain and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3.9–6

Why Downtown Lorain scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Rent control risk
49% of income on rent · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
58% renter households · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Economic stress
36.7% below poverty line · Range 2.5–10.0 across tracts
7.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–4.3 across tracts
2.2
Risk score comparison

Downtown Lorain vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Downtown Lorain score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Downtown Lorain: 5.55.5Downtown LorainNeighborhoodParent city: 2.92.9Parent cityhost cityState: 2.82.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Downtown Lorain?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.1 points from 3.9 to 6. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Downtown Lorain

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
39093097300 6 2,564 57% $817
39093022400 5.9 3,175 48% $728
39093023300 5.6 2,327 50% $937
39093022500 3.9 1,771 39% $1,119
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 78

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 86%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 81%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 66%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 45%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Downtown Lorain

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,997Total filings (sum)
  • 11.00%Avg annual filing rate
  • 23.4%Peak year (2015)
  • 9.76%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Downtown Lorain

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Downtown Lorain

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown Lorain?

Downtown Lorain scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Downtown Lorain compare to Lorain overall?

Downtown Lorain scores 2.6 points higher than Lorain overall (2.9/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $871 vs $887.
Q3

What is the average rent in Downtown Lorain?

Average gross rent in Downtown Lorain eviction risk is $871/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Downtown Lorain residents are renters?

58% of Downtown Lorain households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Lorain). The neighborhood has 9,837 residents.
Q5

Is Downtown Lorain a high social-vulnerability area?

Downtown Lorain sits in the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Downtown Lorain have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Downtown Lorain is census tract 39093097300 (score 6/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.9 to 6, a spread of 2.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Downtown Lorain for landlords?

Downtown Lorain eviction risk carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lorain as a whole (2.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown Lorain?

Downtown Lorain has 9,932 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (44.9%), Hispanic / Latino (29.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (20.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Downtown Lorain

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lorain

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Downtown Lorain.

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