4 census tracts · pop 9,837 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.7/10
· range 4.6–5.9
Downtown Lorain spans 4 census tracts of Lorain, OH and houses 9,837 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.7/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 49% against 32.5% citywide, putting Downtown Lorain 16.5% over its own city.
The poverty rate is 37%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Severe burden reaches 25%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. 19.6% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
On the high side is housing-court posture at 8/10. The 4 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 4.6 to 5.9, a 1.3-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.1/10.
Filings are well documented here: 2,997 across 4 observed tracts. The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 23.4% of renter households.
17.9% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. The most recent observed rate, 9.3% in 2018, is well off that peak.
Among the 7 mapped neighborhoods of Lorain, it ranks #5 by risk, the lower third. For a like-for-like read, Evergreen Village and Pearl Village score within a fraction of it.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 5.7 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown Lorain vs LorainHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority66%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport45%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Downtown Lorain
Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
2,997Total filings (sum)
11.00%Avg annual filing rate
23.4%Peak year (2015)
9.76%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Downtown Lorain
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
25.6%Housing insecurity
20.3%Utility shutoff threat
35.7%Food insecurity
35.2%SNAP enrollment
18.4%No health insurance
42.4%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Downtown Lorain
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown Lorain?
Downtown Lorain scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Downtown Lorain compare to Lorain overall?
Downtown Lorain scores 1.2 points higher than Lorain overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $871 vs $887.
Q3
What is the average rent in Downtown Lorain?
Average gross rent in Downtown Lorain eviction risk is $871/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Downtown Lorain residents are renters?
58% of Downtown Lorain households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Lorain). The neighborhood has 9,837 residents.
Q5
Is Downtown Lorain a high social-vulnerability area?
Downtown Lorain sits in the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Downtown Lorain have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Downtown Lorain is census tract 39093022400 (score 5.9/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.6 to 5.9, a spread of 1.3 points.
Q7
How safe is Downtown Lorain for landlords?
Downtown Lorain eviction risk carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.7/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lorain as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown Lorain?
Downtown Lorain has 9,932 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (44.9%), Hispanic / Latino (29.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (20.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
