3 census tracts · pop 9,779 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.9/10
· range 5.9–5.9
South Lorain spans 3 census tracts of Lorain, OH, population 9,779. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.9/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Lorain baseline of 32.5%, 48% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
32% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The dominant input is economic stress at 9/10.
The poverty rate is 36%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. Food insecurity affects 37.1% of adults, 19.3 points above the national rate.
20.1% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1.9/10. Filings are well documented here: 1,719 across 3 observed tracts.
The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 18.1% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 7.9% in 2018, is well off that peak. Among the 7 mapped neighborhoods of Lorain, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.
For a like-for-like read, HarborWalk and Pearl Village score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
South Lorain vs LorainHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority78%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport59%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in South Lorain
Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
1,719Total filings (sum)
9.81%Avg annual filing rate
18.1%Peak year (2015)
8.07%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in South Lorain
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
27.6%Housing insecurity
20.6%Utility shutoff threat
37.9%Food insecurity
35.0%SNAP enrollment
22.0%No health insurance
41.8%Any disability
Frequently asked
About South Lorain
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for South Lorain?
South Lorain scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does South Lorain compare to Lorain overall?
South Lorain scores 1.4 points higher than Lorain overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $837 vs $887.
Q3
What is the average rent in South Lorain?
Average gross rent in South Lorain eviction risk is $837/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of South Lorain residents are renters?
50% of South Lorain households are renter-occupied (vs 43% in Lorain). The neighborhood has 9,779 residents.
Q5
Is South Lorain a high social-vulnerability area?
South Lorain sits in the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in South Lorain have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in South Lorain is census tract 39093023100 (score 5.9/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.9 to 5.9, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is South Lorain for landlords?
South Lorain eviction risk carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.9/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lorain as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of South Lorain?
South Lorain has 9,860 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (41.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (31.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (21%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
