Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally
South Lorain Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39093023200 · Lorain County, OH · pop 3,069 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
With a score of 5.9/10, tract 39093023200 in the South Lorain area of Lorain, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,069 residents. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units998
Renter share54.3%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate40.6%
Median income$37,955
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lorain and the region
Centroid at 41.4435, -82.1611 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Lorain scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lorain
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
40.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$848 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lorain
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lorain
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lorain
8.0
How South Lorain compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 68%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 24%Grade C
- 40%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 630Total filings over 11 yrs
- 11.39%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.1%Peak (2015)
- 50Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Lorain. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 26.1%Housing insecurity
- 19.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 35.6%Food insecurity
- 33.3%SNAP enrollment
- 17.2%Transit barriers
- 18.9%No health insurance
- 21.9%Frequent mental distress
- 41.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Lorain
Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 41%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Food insecurity runs 35.6% against 17.8% nationally. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10.
It sits 1.8 points above the Lorain County average of 4.1. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 630 filings here across 11 tracked years. Adults with no health insurance runs 18.9% against 11.3% nationally. Filings peaked in 2015 at 18.1% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 11.4% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39093023200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093023200?
Census tract 39093023200 in the South Lorain neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39093023200?
Median gross rent is $848/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39093023200?
40.6% of residents in tract 39093023200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,069.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39093023200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 68th, minority 76th, housing 50th.
Q5
Is tract 39093023200 considered part of South Lorain?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093023200 fall within South Lorain (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093023200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 630 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39093023200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.39% of renter households, peaking at 18.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39093023200 struggle to pay rent?
About 26.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39093023200 compare to Lorain overall?
Tract 39093023200 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Lorain at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lorain eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39093023200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 40% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lorain
Top eight tracts in Lorain ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
South Lorain
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Pearl Village
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Evergreen Village
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
HarborWalk
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Downtown Lorain
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Downtown Lorain
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Pearl Village
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Evergreen Village
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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