Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally
South Lorain Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39093023200 · Lorain County, OH · pop 3,069 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
South Lorain in Lorain anchors census tract 39093023200, which lands at 6.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 84% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 38% of renter households, a high level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $848 monthly, set against $37,955 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 54% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units998
Renter share54.3%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate40.6%
Median income$37,955
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
93
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lorain and the region
Centroid at 41.4435, -82.1611 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Lorain scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lorain
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
40.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$848 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lorain
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lorain
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lorain
8.0
How South Lorain compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 68%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 24%Grade C
- 40%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 630Total filings over 11 yrs
- 11.39%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.1%Peak (2015)
- 50Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Lorain. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 26.1%Housing insecurity
- 19.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 35.6%Food insecurity
- 33.3%SNAP enrollment
- 17.2%Transit barriers
- 18.9%No health insurance
- 21.9%Frequent mental distress
- 41.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Lorain
The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lorain eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lorain County average of 5.3 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 630 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 11.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 18.1% of renter households in 2015.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 39093023200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093023200?
Census tract 39093023200 in the South Lorain neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39093023200?
Median gross rent is $848/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39093023200?
40.6% of residents in tract 39093023200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,069.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39093023200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 68th, minority 76th, housing 50th.
Q5
Is tract 39093023200 considered part of South Lorain?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093023200 fall within South Lorain (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093023200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 630 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39093023200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.39% of renter households, peaking at 18.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39093023200 struggle to pay rent?
About 26.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39093023200 compare to Lorain overall?
Tract 39093023200 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Lorain at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lorain eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39093023200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 40% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lorain
Top eight tracts in Lorain ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Pearl Village
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Evergreen Village
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Downtown Lorain
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
South Lorain
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Downtown Lorain
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Downtown Lorain
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
South Lorain
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Pearl Village
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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