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Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Toledo Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39095007306 · Lucas County, OH · pop 3,662

Census tract 39095007306 covers part of Toledo, OH, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,662 residents. 55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Lucas County average of 41.3%.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 30% Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,879
Renter share67.4%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate34.0%
Median income$38,478

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#22 of 121 tracts In Toledo
High
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 168 tracts In Lucas County
High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#554 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Toledo and the region

Centroid at 41.6229, -83.6474 · click any tract to drill in

Why Toledo scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Toledo
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
34.0% poverty · this tract
8.5
Supply constraint
$1,034 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toledo
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toledo
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toledo
4.0

How Toledo compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Toledo risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 007306Toledo: 4.04.0Toledoparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Toledo

Severe burden reaches 28%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.9/10.

The poverty rate is 34%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Set annual rent against average income of $38,478 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.5/10. SNAP participation runs 29.7% against 15.2% nationally.

It sits 1.2 points above the Lucas County average of 4.2. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 18.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

At $1,034 a month, rents run 15% over what the rest of Toledo commands. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Toledo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39095007306

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095007306?

Census tract 39095007306 in Toledo scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39095007306?

Median gross rent is $1,034/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39095007306?

34.0% of residents in tract 39095007306 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,662.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39095007306?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 95th, minority 74th, housing 97th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 39095007306 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 39095007306 compare to Toledo overall?

Tract 39095007306 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Toledo at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 39095007306 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toledo

Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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