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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Deveaux Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo

Tract 39095000701 · Lucas County, OH · pop 1,694 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Tract 39095000701 sits in the Deveaux area of Toledo eviction risk, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. Population here is 1,694. The severe-burden share is 73%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 7% Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units575
Renter share26.8%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate59.4%
Median income$27,830

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In Deveaux
Very High
Within parent city
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#37 of 121 tracts In Toledo
Elevated
Within county
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#50 of 168 tracts In Lucas County
Elevated
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#554 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Toledo and the region

Centroid at 41.6852, -83.5869 · click any tract to drill in

Why Deveaux scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Toledo
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
59.4% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,153 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toledo
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toledo
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toledo
4.0

How Deveaux compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Deveaux risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 000701Toledo: 4.04.0Toledoparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Deveaux. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Deveaux

73% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Lucas County average of 41.3%. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. Set annual rent against average income of $27,830 and the ratio lands at 50%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

The poverty rate is 59%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 32.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Housing insecurity runs 34.6% against 14.2% nationally.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Average gross rent is $1,153, 28% above the Toledo average. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

It sits 1.2 points above the Lucas County average of 4.2. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Toledo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 39095000701

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095000701?

Census tract 39095000701 in the Deveaux neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39095000701?

Median gross rent is $1,153/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39095000701?

59.4% of residents in tract 39095000701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,694.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39095000701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 59th, minority 46th, housing 8th.
Q5

Is tract 39095000701 considered part of Deveaux?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095000701 fall within Deveaux (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 39095000701 struggle to pay rent?

About 34.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 32.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39095000701 compare to Toledo overall?

Tract 39095000701 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Toledo at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 39095000701 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toledo

Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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