Old Orchard Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo
Tract 39095001302 · Lucas County, OH · pop 2,011 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
39095001302 is a census tract in the Old Orchard area of Toledo, OH. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,011. This is renter territory: 94% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Toledo and the region
Centroid at 41.6714, -83.6092 · click any tract to drill in
Why Old Orchard scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Old Orchard compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 88%Socioeconomic
- 21%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 11%Grade A
- 23%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,099Total filings over 15 yrs
- 14.94%Avg annual filing rate
- 24.2%Peak (2014)
- 160Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Old Orchard. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.5%Housing insecurity
- 15.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.6%Food insecurity
- 24.7%SNAP enrollment
- 15.2%Transit barriers
- 10.4%No health insurance
- 22.8%Frequent mental distress
- 35.1%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Old Orchard
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $31,152, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 31%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Severe burden reaches 21%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against Lucas County at 41.3%, 51% of renters here are cost-burdened. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 7.8/10.
Against the Lucas County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Food insecurity runs 26.6% against 17.8% nationally.
Court records carry 2,099 eviction filings across 15 observed years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2014 at 24.2% of renter households.
This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Toledo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 39095001302
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095001302?
What is the average rent in tract 39095001302?
What is the poverty rate in tract 39095001302?
How socially vulnerable is tract 39095001302?
Is tract 39095001302 considered part of Old Orchard?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39095001302?
What share of households in tract 39095001302 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 39095001302 compare to Toledo overall?
Was tract 39095001302 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Toledo
Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.