Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally
McComas Village Eviction Risk: Elevated , Toledo
Tract 39095010400 · Lucas County, OH · pop 3,237 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
The Elevated-tier score of 6.4/10 for census tract 39095010400 reflects conditions in the McComas Village neighborhood of Toledo, Ohio. That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 51% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 51% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $817 monthly, set against $18,350 in average yearly household income, roughly 53% of income at the averages. Renters make up 79% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 39%
Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units187
Renter share78.6%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate60.3%
Median income$18,350
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Toledo and the region
Centroid at 41.6580, -83.6150 · click any tract to drill in
Why McComas Village scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Toledo
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
60.3% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$817 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toledo
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toledo
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toledo
4.0
How McComas Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 41%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 28%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 13%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 44Total filings over 13 yrs
- 2.83%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.8%Peak (2016)
- 5Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 400% over the past 15 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.9%Housing insecurity
- 17.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 35.1%Food insecurity
- 32.0%SNAP enrollment
- 23.6%Transit barriers
- 11.6%No health insurance
- 32.3%Frequent mental distress
- 40.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in McComas Village
The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Toledo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lucas County average of 5.5 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 21.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 44 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 2.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.8% of renter households in 2016.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 39095010400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095010400?
Census tract 39095010400 in the McComas Village neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39095010400?
Median gross rent is $817/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39095010400?
60.3% of residents in tract 39095010400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,237.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39095010400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 1th, minority 41th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 39095010400 considered part of McComas Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095010400 fall within McComas Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39095010400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 44 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39095010400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.83% of renter households, peaking at 6.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39095010400 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39095010400 compare to Toledo overall?
Tract 39095010400 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Toledo at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39095010400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Toledo
Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Northriver
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
East Toledo
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Warren-Sherman
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Birckhead Place
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Bush Street Historic District
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Heather Downs
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
River East
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Northlawn
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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