Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Old Orchard Eviction Risk: Lower , Toledo

Tract 39095001301 · Lucas County, OH · pop 2,475 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 39095001301 sits in the Old Orchard area of Toledo eviction risk, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 2,475. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.9/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 8% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,128
Renter share11.4%
SVI overall0.00
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$133,101

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Old Orchard
Very Low
Within parent city
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#115 of 121 tracts In Toledo
Very Low
Within county
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#117 of 168 tracts In Lucas County
Low
Within state
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#2,197 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Toledo and the region

Centroid at 41.6702, -83.6173 · click any tract to drill in

Why Old Orchard scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Toledo
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,107 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toledo
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toledo
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toledo
4.0

How Old Orchard compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Old Orchard risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 001301Toledo: 4.04.0Toledoparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 0

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 47Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 3.34%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.7%Peak (2010)
  • 3Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390950013012003: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2004: 2 filings (3.08/100 renter HHs)2005: 2 filings (2.63/100 renter HHs)2006: 5 filings (6.58/100 renter HHs)2007: 1 filings (1.32/100 renter HHs)2008: 3 filings (3.95/100 renter HHs)2009: 2 filings (2.63/100 renter HHs)2010: 8 filings (6.72/100 renter HHs)2011: 4 filings (3.45/100 renter HHs)2012: 2 filings (1.72/100 renter HHs)2013: 5 filings (4.31/100 renter HHs)2014: 3 filings (2.59/100 renter HHs)2015: 1 filings (0.86/100 renter HHs)2016: 6 filings (4.65/100 renter HHs)2018: 3 filings (2.33/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Old Orchard. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Old Orchard

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.3/10. 32% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Lucas County average of 41.3%.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,107, 23% above the Toledo average.

SNAP participation runs 3.6% against 15.2% nationally. Against the Lucas County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. The filing record is not thin: 47 evictions over 14 years of observation.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 4.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2010 at 6.7% of renter households.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 3.3% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39095001301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095001301?

Census tract 39095001301 in the Old Orchard neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39095001301?

Median gross rent is $1,107/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39095001301?

5.3% of residents in tract 39095001301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,475.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39095001301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 0th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 7th, minority 22th, housing 1th.
Q5

Is tract 39095001301 considered part of Old Orchard?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095001301 fall within Old Orchard (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39095001301?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 47 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 39095001301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.34% of renter households, peaking at 6.7% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39095001301 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39095001301 compare to Toledo overall?

Tract 39095001301 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Toledo at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39095001301 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toledo

Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related