2 census tracts · pop 4,486 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10
· range 3–5.4
Old Orchard is a 2-tract neighborhood of Toledo, OH, population 4,486. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.1/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Toledo baseline of 28.4%, 40% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
The 2 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3 to 5.4, a 2.4-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 12%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.
Court records carry 2,146 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. The poverty rate is 17%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. At $1,032 a month, rents sit 15% over what the rest of Toledo commands.
The worst year on record was 2014, when filings touched 24.2% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 9.3% in 2018, is well off that peak.
Among the 45 mapped neighborhoods of Toledo, it ranks #36 by risk, the lower third. Against average income of $87,399, annual rent is only 14%, a wide affordability cushion.
49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.1 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Old Orchard vs ToledoHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority39%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport35%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Old Orchard
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
2,146Total filings (sum)
8.54%Avg annual filing rate
24.2%Peak year (2014)
8.59%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Old Orchard
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
11.7%Housing insecurity
9.2%Utility shutoff threat
14.9%Food insecurity
13.1%SNAP enrollment
6.8%No health insurance
26.6%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Old Orchard
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Old Orchard?
Old Orchard scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Old Orchard compare to Toledo overall?
Old Orchard scores 0.1 points higher than Toledo overall (4/10). Renters spend 40% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,032 vs $901.
Q3
What is the average rent in Old Orchard?
Average gross rent in Old Orchard is $1,032/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Old Orchard residents are renters?
49% of Old Orchard households are renter-occupied (vs 47% in Toledo). The neighborhood has 4,486 residents.
Q5
Is Old Orchard a high social-vulnerability area?
Old Orchard sits in the 34th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Old Orchard have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Old Orchard is census tract 39095001302 (score 5.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 5.4, a spread of 2.4 points.
Q7
How safe is Old Orchard for landlords?
Old Orchard carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Toledo as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Old Orchard?
Old Orchard has 4,693 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (74.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14.5%), Hispanic / Latino (7.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
