Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

River East Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo

Tract 39095005101 · Lucas County, OH · pop 2,791 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Here is how census tract 39095005101, in the River East neighborhood of Toledo eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a $1/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 2,791. On the national scale it ranks #21,891 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 43% of renter households, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $33,329 a year. About 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

5.8

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 25% Owners 56%

Tract context

Occupied units1,183

Renter share43.2%

SVI overall0.80

Poverty rate30.1%

Median income$33,329

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Toledo and the region

Centroid at 41.6335, -83.5211 · click any tract to drill in

Why River East scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Toledo

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.8

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

30.1% poverty · this tract

7.5

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Toledo

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Toledo

4.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Toledo

4.0

How River East compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

85%Socioeconomic
86%Household composition
67%Racial/ethnic minority
48%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
68%Grade C
2%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within River East. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

29.6%Housing insecurity
23.2%Utility-shutoff threat
39.8%Food insecurity
40.3%SNAP enrollment
20.3%Transit barriers
17.2%No health insurance
26.1%Frequent mental distress
42.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in River East

What moves this score most is economic stress at 7.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Toledo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lucas County average of 5.5 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Part of this tract, about 2% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 39095005101

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095005101?

Census tract 39095005101 in the River East neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39095005101?

30.1% of residents in tract 39095005101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,791.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39095005101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 86th, minority 67th, housing 48th.

Is tract 39095005101 considered part of River East?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095005101 fall within River East (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 39095005101 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39095005101 compare to Toledo overall?

Tract 39095005101 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Toledo at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 39095005101 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toledo

Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.