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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally

East High Eviction Risk: Moderate , Youngstown

Tract 39099800600 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 1,369 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 39099800600 covers part of the East High area of Youngstown, OH, and scores 5.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,369. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 28% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units673
Renter share61.8%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate45.4%
Median income$26,678

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In East High
Moderate
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#6 of 31 tracts In Youngstown
High
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 75 tracts In Mahoning County
High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#190 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Youngstown and the region

Centroid at 41.1079, -80.6249 · click any tract to drill in

Why East High scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Youngstown
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
45.4% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$422 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Youngstown
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6

How East High compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East High risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.9This tracttract 8006004.5Youngstownparent city4.5Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 316Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 13.83%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.5%Peak (2014)
  • 49Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39099800600
Filings climbed 23% over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East High

SNAP participation runs 62.3% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 58.0% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 45%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

At $422 a month, rents run 42% under what the rest of Youngstown commands. Cost burden runs 55% here against 42.6% across Mahoning County.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. 20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10. It sits 1.4 points above the Mahoning County average of 4.5.

The filing record is not thin: 316 evictions over 7 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2014, when 18.5% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Youngstown. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 13.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.5/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 39099800600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099800600?

Census tract 39099800600 in the East High neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39099800600?

Median gross rent is $422/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39099800600?

45.4% of residents in tract 39099800600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,369.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39099800600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 93th, minority 98th, housing 47th.
Q5

Is tract 39099800600 considered part of East High?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099800600 fall within East High (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099800600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 316 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 39099800600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.83% of renter households, peaking at 18.5% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39099800600 struggle to pay rent?

About 39.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 34.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39099800600 compare to Youngstown overall?

Tract 39099800600 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Youngstown at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Youngstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39099800600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 89% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Youngstown

Top eight tracts in Youngstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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