Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally

Lansdowne Eviction Risk: Moderate , Youngstown

Tract 39099800501 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 2,124 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

39099800501 is a census tract in the Lansdowne area of Youngstown, OH. It scores 5.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,124 residents. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 41% Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units803
Renter share72.2%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate74.9%
Median income$15,469

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Lansdowne
Very High
Within parent city
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 31 tracts In Youngstown
Moderate
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#15 of 75 tracts In Mahoning County
High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#190 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Youngstown and the region

Centroid at 41.1206, -80.6242 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lansdowne scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Youngstown
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
74.9% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$321 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Youngstown
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6

How Lansdowne compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lansdowne risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.9This tracttract 8005014.5Youngstownparent city4.5Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lansdowne. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lansdowne

At $321 a month, rents run 56% under what the rest of Youngstown commands. SNAP participation runs 66.5% against 15.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 75%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.

72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 25.0% against 11.3% nationally. Against the Mahoning County average of 4.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.

Severe burden reaches 13%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Youngstown. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 39099800501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099800501?

Census tract 39099800501 in the Lansdowne neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39099800501?

Median gross rent is $321/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39099800501?

74.9% of residents in tract 39099800501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,124.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39099800501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 98th, minority 87th, housing 52th.
Q5

Is tract 39099800501 considered part of Lansdowne?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099800501 fall within Lansdowne (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 39099800501 struggle to pay rent?

About 42.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 38.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39099800501 compare to Youngstown overall?

Tract 39099800501 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Youngstown at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Youngstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 39099800501 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 88% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Youngstown

Top eight tracts in Youngstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related