Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally
Old Furnace District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Youngstown
Tract 39099802500 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 1,270 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 39099802500 (the Old Furnace District area of Youngstown, Ohio) comes in at 6.7/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 90% of US census tracts.
About 78% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $822 a month while the average household earns $37,200 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 31% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units592
Renter share30.9%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate30.7%
Median income$37,200
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
37
th percentile
Low
Within county
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Youngstown and the region
Centroid at 41.0812, -80.6787 · click any tract to drill in
Why Old Furnace District scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Youngstown
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
30.7% poverty · this tract
7.7
Supply constraint
$822 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Youngstown
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6
How Old Furnace District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 73
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 82%Racial/ethnic minority
- 20%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 20%Grade A
- 28%Grade B
- 2%Grade C
- 2%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 180Total filings over 7 yrs
- 9.53%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.2%Peak (2016)
- 30Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 76% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Old Furnace District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.1%Housing insecurity
- 20.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.2%Food insecurity
- 34.9%SNAP enrollment
- 17.0%Transit barriers
- 12.5%No health insurance
- 20.0%Frequent mental distress
- 40.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Old Furnace District
The heaviest input here is housing court bias at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Youngstown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Mahoning County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 180 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 9.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.2% of renter households in 2016.
Part of this tract, about 2% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was B ("Still Desirable"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 39099802500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099802500?
Census tract 39099802500 in the Old Furnace District neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39099802500?
Median gross rent is $822/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 78% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39099802500?
30.7% of residents in tract 39099802500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,270.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39099802500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 62th, minority 82th, housing 20th.
Q5
Is tract 39099802500 considered part of Old Furnace District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099802500 fall within Old Furnace District (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099802500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 180 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 39099802500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.53% of renter households, peaking at 8.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39099802500 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39099802500 compare to Youngstown overall?
Tract 39099802500 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Youngstown at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Youngstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39099802500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Youngstown
Top eight tracts in Youngstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Stambaugh Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Lansdowne
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Wick Park Historic District
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Buckeye Plat
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
La La Land
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Cottage Grove
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Bryn Mawr
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Arlington Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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