Old Furnace District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Youngstown

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.6/10. Food insecurity runs 34.2% against 17.8% nationally.

The poverty rate is 31%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 1.4 points above the Mahoning County average of 4.5. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.8/10.

Housing insecurity runs 25.1% against 14.2% nationally. Severe burden reaches 13%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The filing record is not thin: 180 evictions over 7 years of observation.

Average gross rent is $822, 13% above the Youngstown average. Filings peaked in 2016 at 8.2% of renter households. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Youngstown. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 9.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #19,618 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.6/10.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.