Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
McPherson Town Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dayton
Tract 39113165200 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 1,616 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
39113165200 is a census tract in the McPherson Town Historic District area of Dayton, OH. It scores 5/10 for landlords. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.4/10.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 42%
Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units1,054
Renter share76.5%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate16.1%
Median income$33,050
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
20
th percentile
Low
Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
71
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dayton and the region
Centroid at 39.7680, -84.1970 · click any tract to drill in
Why McPherson Town Historic District scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dayton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
16.1% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$685 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
3.5
How McPherson Town Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 53
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 60%Socioeconomic
- 13%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 66%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 27%Grade B
- 14%Grade C
- 34%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,374Total filings over 17 yrs
- 7.82%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.7%Peak (2008)
- 63Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 34% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within McPherson Town Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.7%Housing insecurity
- 10.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.1%Food insecurity
- 13.5%SNAP enrollment
- 8.7%Transit barriers
- 7.1%No health insurance
- 16.0%Frequent mental distress
- 28.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in McPherson Town Historic District
This is renter territory: 76% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. 19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
At $685 a month, rents run 25% under what the rest of Dayton commands. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,374 filings here across 17 tracked years.
Against the Montgomery County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. The worst year on record was 2008, when 9.7% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 7.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 5.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39113165200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113165200?
Census tract 39113165200 in the McPherson Town Historic District neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39113165200?
Median gross rent is $685/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113165200?
16.1% of residents in tract 39113165200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,616.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113165200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 13th, minority 62th, housing 66th.
Q5
Is tract 39113165200 considered part of McPherson Town Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113165200 fall within McPherson Town Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113165200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,374 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113165200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.82% of renter households, peaking at 9.7% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39113165200 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39113165200 compare to Dayton overall?
Tract 39113165200 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39113165200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 34% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dayton
Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Huffman Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Dunbar Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Linden Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Dunbar Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Dayton View Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Linden Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113004200
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113000801
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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