McPherson Town Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dayton
Tract 39113001200 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 1,188 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 39113001200 sits in the McPherson Town Historic District area of Dayton eviction risk, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. Population here is 1,188. The severe-burden share is 51%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Dayton and the region
Centroid at 39.7751, -84.1996 · click any tract to drill in
Why McPherson Town Historic District scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow McPherson Town Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 44%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 54%Grade C
- 30%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 658Total filings over 17 yrs
- 12.19%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.7%Peak (2004)
- 23Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within McPherson Town Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 36.0%Housing insecurity
- 32.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 49.0%Food insecurity
- 55.2%SNAP enrollment
- 26.3%Transit barriers
- 15.8%No health insurance
- 26.4%Frequent mental distress
- 47.5%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in McPherson Town Historic District
Cost burden runs around two-thirds here against 42.9% across Montgomery County. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.
SNAP participation runs 55.2% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 57%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Set annual rent against average income of $19,182 and the ratio lands at 46%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
Disability prevalence runs 47.5% against 31.5% nationally. 66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.8/10. Average gross rent is $733, 20% below the Dayton average.
It sits 1.2 points above the Montgomery County average of 4.2. Court records carry 658 eviction filings across 17 observed years. Filings peaked in 2004 at 11.7% of renter households.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Dayton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 39113001200
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113001200?
What is the average rent in tract 39113001200?
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113001200?
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113001200?
Is tract 39113001200 considered part of McPherson Town Historic District?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113001200?
What share of households in tract 39113001200 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 39113001200 compare to Dayton overall?
Was tract 39113001200 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Dayton
Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.