Within parent city
28
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally
Dayton Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39113000300 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 2,159 · 63% of tract blocks fall in Dayton
With a score of 5.1/10, tract 39113000300 in Dayton ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,159 residents. On the national scale it ranks #49,235 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 37% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $749 a month against an average household income of $41,750 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 66% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 42%
Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units892
Renter share66.5%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate21.4%
Median income$41,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
79
th percentile
High
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dayton and the region
Centroid at 39.7836, -84.2486 · click any tract to drill in
Why Dayton scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dayton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
21.4% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$749 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
3.5
How Dayton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 92
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 76%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 74%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 1%Grade A
- 1%Grade B
- 2%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,507Total filings over 17 yrs
- 14.68%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.6%Peak (2008)
- 49Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 52% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 29.1%Housing insecurity
- 22.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 36.7%Food insecurity
- 36.6%SNAP enrollment
- 18.9%Transit barriers
- 12.1%No health insurance
- 22.3%Frequent mental distress
- 39.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Dayton
What moves this score most is economic stress at 5.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dayton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Montgomery County average of 5.4 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,507 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 14.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 16.6% of renter households in 2008.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39113000300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113000300?
Census tract 39113000300 in Dayton scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39113000300?
Median gross rent is $749/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113000300?
21.4% of residents in tract 39113000300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,159.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113000300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 76th, minority 91th, housing 74th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113000300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,507 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113000300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.68% of renter households, peaking at 16.6% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39113000300 struggle to pay rent?
About 29.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39113000300 compare to Dayton overall?
Tract 39113000300 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 39113000300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dayton
Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Kossuth Colony Historic District
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
South Park Historic District
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Kossuth Colony Historic District
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Dunbar Historic District
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Huffman Historic District
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Huffman Historic District
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39113000200
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Twin Towers
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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