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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Kossuth Colony Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dayton

Tract 39113001700 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 656 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Tract 39113001700 sits in the Kossuth Colony Historic District area of Dayton eviction risk, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. Population here is 656. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 44% Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units398
Renter share78.9%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate31.7%
Median income$35,833

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Kossuth Colony Historic District
Very High
Within parent city
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 51 tracts In Dayton
Elevated
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#30 of 156 tracts In Montgomery County
High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#554 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dayton and the region

Centroid at 39.7819, -84.1858 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kossuth Colony Historic District scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dayton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
31.7% poverty · this tract
7.9
Supply constraint
$654 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
3.5

How Kossuth Colony Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kossuth Colony Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0017004.0Daytonparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 66

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,134Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 16.41%Avg annual filing rate
  • 37.7%Peak (2004)
  • 26Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39113001700
Filings dropped 82% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kossuth Colony Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kossuth Colony Historic District

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.1/10. This is renter territory: 79% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

The poverty rate is 32%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $654, 29% below the Dayton average.

Food insecurity runs 32.7% against 17.8% nationally. On the high side, economic stress reads 7.9/10. Against the Montgomery County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,134 filings here across 17 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2004, when 37.7% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Dayton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 16.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113001700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113001700?

Census tract 39113001700 in the Kossuth Colony Historic District neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39113001700?

Median gross rent is $654/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113001700?

31.7% of residents in tract 39113001700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 656.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113001700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 30th, minority 37th, housing 27th.
Q5

Is tract 39113001700 considered part of Kossuth Colony Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113001700 fall within Kossuth Colony Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113001700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,134 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113001700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.41% of renter households, peaking at 37.7% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39113001700 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39113001700 compare to Dayton overall?

Tract 39113001700 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39113001700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 31% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dayton

Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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