Dayton Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39113070202 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 2,133 · 68% of tract blocks fall in Dayton
Census tract 39113070202 covers part of Dayton, OH, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. 28% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Montgomery County average of 42.9%.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Dayton and the region
Centroid at 39.7554, -84.2720 · click any tract to drill in
Why Dayton scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Dayton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 93%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 23%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 5%Grade C
- 39%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 648Total filings over 17 yrs
- 9.66%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.9%Peak (2010)
- 41Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 26.3%Housing insecurity
- 20.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 33.5%Food insecurity
- 33.3%SNAP enrollment
- 16.8%Transit barriers
- 11.1%No health insurance
- 20.6%Frequent mental distress
- 40.3%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Dayton
SNAP participation runs 33.3% against 15.2% nationally. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.2/10. Housing insecurity runs 26.3% against 14.2% nationally. Against the Montgomery County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10. 10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. At $777 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Dayton commands.
The filing record is not thin: 648 evictions over 17 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2010 at 14.9% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 39113070202
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113070202?
What is the average rent in tract 39113070202?
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113070202?
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113070202?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113070202?
What share of households in tract 39113070202 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 39113070202 compare to Dayton overall?
Was tract 39113070202 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Dayton
Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.