Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Dayton Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39113070202 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 2,133 · 68% of tract blocks fall in Dayton

Census tract 39113070202 covers part of Dayton, OH, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. 28% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Montgomery County average of 42.9%.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 33% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units931
Renter share45.4%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate27.8%
Median income$38,540

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#32 of 51 tracts In Dayton
Low
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 156 tracts In Montgomery County
High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#554 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dayton and the region

Centroid at 39.7554, -84.2720 · click any tract to drill in

Why Dayton scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dayton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
27.8% poverty · this tract
6.9
Supply constraint
$777 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
3.5

How Dayton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Dayton risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0702024.0Daytonparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 648Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 9.66%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.9%Peak (2010)
  • 41Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39113070202
Filings climbed 95% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Dayton

SNAP participation runs 33.3% against 15.2% nationally. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.2/10. Housing insecurity runs 26.3% against 14.2% nationally. Against the Montgomery County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10. 10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. At $777 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Dayton commands.

The filing record is not thin: 648 evictions over 17 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2010 at 14.9% of renter households.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113070202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113070202?

Census tract 39113070202 in Dayton scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39113070202?

Median gross rent is $777/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113070202?

27.8% of residents in tract 39113070202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,133.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113070202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 93th, minority 93th, housing 23th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113070202?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 648 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113070202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.66% of renter households, peaking at 14.9% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 39113070202 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39113070202 compare to Dayton overall?

Tract 39113070202 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 39113070202 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 39% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dayton

Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related