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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Kossuth Colony Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dayton

Tract 39113080600 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 1,309 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

39113080600 is a census tract in the Kossuth Colony Historic District area of Dayton, OH. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,309. Against Montgomery County at 42.9%, 79% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 7% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units557
Renter share32.3%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate25.0%
Median income$46,648

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Kossuth Colony Historic District
Very Low
Within parent city
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#25 of 51 tracts In Dayton
Moderate
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 156 tracts In Montgomery County
High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#554 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dayton and the region

Centroid at 39.8012, -84.1799 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kossuth Colony Historic District scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dayton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
25.0% poverty · this tract
6.2
Supply constraint
$1,150 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
3.5

How Kossuth Colony Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kossuth Colony Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0806004.0Daytonparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 265Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 9.76%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.3%Peak (2014)
  • 14Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39113080600
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kossuth Colony Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kossuth Colony Historic District

34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.

Average gross rent is $1,150, 25% above the Dayton average. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10.

Against the Montgomery County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.4/10.

The filing record is not thin: 265 evictions over 17 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2014, when 13.3% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 9.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $46,648.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113080600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113080600?

Census tract 39113080600 in the Kossuth Colony Historic District neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39113080600?

Median gross rent is $1,150/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 79% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113080600?

25.0% of residents in tract 39113080600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,309.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113080600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 74th, minority 24th, housing 38th.
Q5

Is tract 39113080600 considered part of Kossuth Colony Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113080600 fall within Kossuth Colony Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113080600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 265 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113080600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.76% of renter households, peaking at 13.3% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39113080600 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39113080600 compare to Dayton overall?

Tract 39113080600 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39113080600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dayton

Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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