Within parent city
52
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Dayton Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39113001100 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 3,958
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 39113001100 in Dayton, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,958 residents. The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,677
Renter share63.2%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate25.0%
Median income$32,668
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dayton and the region
Centroid at 39.7925, -84.2093 · click any tract to drill in
Why Dayton scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dayton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
25.0% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$872 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
3.5
How Dayton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 49%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 88%Grade B
- 3%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,597Total filings over 17 yrs
- 13.40%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.9%Peak (2009)
- 173Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 29.9%Housing insecurity
- 25.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 38.4%Food insecurity
- 41.3%SNAP enrollment
- 20.3%Transit barriers
- 12.6%No health insurance
- 23.7%Frequent mental distress
- 40.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Dayton
Cost burden runs 56% here against 42.9% across Montgomery County. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 25.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Set annual rent against average income of $32,668 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Housing insecurity runs 29.9% against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10. Against the Montgomery County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.
Running cool, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Court records carry 2,597 eviction filings across 17 observed years. Filings peaked in 2009 at 17.9% of renter households.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39113001100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113001100?
Census tract 39113001100 in Dayton scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39113001100?
Median gross rent is $872/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113001100?
25.0% of residents in tract 39113001100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,958.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113001100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 83th, minority 84th, housing 49th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113001100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,597 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113001100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.40% of renter households, peaking at 17.9% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39113001100 struggle to pay rent?
About 29.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39113001100 compare to Dayton overall?
Tract 39113001100 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 39113001100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dayton
Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Kossuth Colony Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Dunbar Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113000100
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Huffman Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113000200
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Huffman Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
West Third Street Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Twin Towers
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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