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Census Tract · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally

Dayton Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39113000100 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 2,335 · 54% of tract blocks fall in Dayton

Census tract 39113000100 covers Dayton in Montgomery County, home to 2,335 residents. For landlords it grades 4.8/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 20% of renter households, a modest level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,179 a month while the average household earns $41,671 a year, roughly 34% of income at the averages. About 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 27% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,157
Renter share33.0%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate21.5%
Median income$41,671

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#36 of 51 tracts In Dayton
Low
Within county
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#44 of 156 tracts In Montgomery County
Elevated
Within state
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#667 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,926 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dayton and the region

Centroid at 39.7966, -84.2627 · click any tract to drill in

Why Dayton scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dayton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
21.5% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,179 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
3.5

How Dayton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Dayton risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 000100Dayton: 3.43.4Daytonparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 769Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 10.45%Avg annual filing rate
  • 19.6%Peak (2018)
  • 73Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 391130001002002: 26 filings (7.85/100 renter HHs)2003: 12 filings (3.63/100 renter HHs)2004: 31 filings (9.37/100 renter HHs)2005: 47 filings (10.93/100 renter HHs)2006: 40 filings (9.30/100 renter HHs)2007: 41 filings (9.53/100 renter HHs)2008: 39 filings (9.07/100 renter HHs)2009: 33 filings (7.67/100 renter HHs)2010: 57 filings (13.23/100 renter HHs)2011: 61 filings (11.21/100 renter HHs)2012: 64 filings (11.76/100 renter HHs)2013: 57 filings (10.48/100 renter HHs)2014: 37 filings (6.80/100 renter HHs)2015: 39 filings (7.17/100 renter HHs)2016: 57 filings (15.32/100 renter HHs)2017: 55 filings (14.78/100 renter HHs)2018: 73 filings (19.62/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 181% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Dayton

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 5.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dayton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Montgomery County average of 5.4 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 769 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 10.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 19.6% of renter households in 2018.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113000100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113000100?

Census tract 39113000100 in Dayton scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39113000100?

Median gross rent is $1,179/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113000100?

21.5% of residents in tract 39113000100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,335.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113000100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 79th, minority 91th, housing 16th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113000100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 769 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113000100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.45% of renter households, peaking at 19.6% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 39113000100 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39113000100 compare to Dayton overall?

Tract 39113000100 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 39113000100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dayton

Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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