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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Walnut Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dayton

Tract 39113003300 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 5,940 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 4.8/10, tract 39113003300 in the Walnut Hills area of Dayton, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,940 residents. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 26% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,184
Renter share50.4%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate19.4%
Median income$59,711

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In Walnut Hills
Elevated
Within parent city
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#45 of 51 tracts In Dayton
Very Low
Within county
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#64 of 156 tracts In Montgomery County
Elevated
Within state
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#1,036 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dayton and the region

Centroid at 39.7431, -84.1602 · click any tract to drill in

Why Walnut Hills scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dayton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
19.4% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,031 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
3.5

How Walnut Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Walnut Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0033004.0Daytonparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,128Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 7.24%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.9%Peak (2014)
  • 58Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39113003300
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Walnut Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Walnut Hills

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10. Against Montgomery County at 42.9%, about half of renters here are cost-burdened.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.4/10. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Court records carry 1,128 eviction filings across 17 observed years.

At $1,031 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of Dayton commands. The worst year on record was 2014, when 8.9% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Dayton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 7.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the Montgomery County average of 4.2 closely. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $59,711.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113003300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113003300?

Census tract 39113003300 in the Walnut Hills neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39113003300?

Median gross rent is $1,031/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113003300?

19.4% of residents in tract 39113003300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,940.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113003300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 72th, minority 46th, housing 41th.
Q5

Is tract 39113003300 considered part of Walnut Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113003300 fall within Walnut Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113003300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,128 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113003300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.24% of renter households, peaking at 8.9% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39113003300 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39113003300 compare to Dayton overall?

Tract 39113003300 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39113003300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dayton

Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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