Walnut Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dayton
Tract 39113003300 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 5,940 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 4.8/10, tract 39113003300 in the Walnut Hills area of Dayton, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,940 residents. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Dayton and the region
Centroid at 39.7431, -84.1602 · click any tract to drill in
Why Walnut Hills scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Walnut Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 89%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 41%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 64%Grade B
- 32%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,128Total filings over 17 yrs
- 7.24%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.9%Peak (2014)
- 58Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Walnut Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.0%Housing insecurity
- 11.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.4%Food insecurity
- 16.2%SNAP enrollment
- 10.5%Transit barriers
- 10.2%No health insurance
- 20.9%Frequent mental distress
- 31.2%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Walnut Hills
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10. Against Montgomery County at 42.9%, about half of renters here are cost-burdened.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.4/10. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Court records carry 1,128 eviction filings across 17 observed years.
At $1,031 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of Dayton commands. The worst year on record was 2014, when 8.9% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Dayton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 7.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Montgomery County average of 4.2 closely. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $59,711.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 39113003300
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113003300?
What is the average rent in tract 39113003300?
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113003300?
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113003300?
Is tract 39113003300 considered part of Walnut Hills?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113003300?
What share of households in tract 39113003300 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 39113003300 compare to Dayton overall?
Was tract 39113003300 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Dayton
Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.