Within neighborhood
20
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Walnut Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Dayton
Tract 39113003000 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 2,612 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 3.9/10, tract 39113003000 in the Walnut Hills area of Dayton, OH reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,546
Renter share40.9%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate10.1%
Median income$55,434
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
2
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
51
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dayton and the region
Centroid at 39.7349, -84.1510 · click any tract to drill in
Why Walnut Hills scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dayton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
10.1% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$926 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
3.5
How Walnut Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 23
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 2%Grade B
- 53%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 358Total filings over 17 yrs
- 3.35%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.7%Peak (2017)
- 32Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 113% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Walnut Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.6%Housing insecurity
- 8.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.5%Food insecurity
- 10.5%SNAP enrollment
- 7.5%Transit barriers
- 7.3%No health insurance
- 17.7%Frequent mental distress
- 29.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Walnut Hills
20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.4/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 358 filings here across 17 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2017 at 6.7% of renter households.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Dayton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 3.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 40% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 3.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. 44% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
It tracks the Montgomery County average of 4.2 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39113003000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113003000?
Census tract 39113003000 in the Walnut Hills neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39113003000?
Median gross rent is $926/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113003000?
10.1% of residents in tract 39113003000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,612.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113003000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 15th, minority 31th, housing 34th.
Q5
Is tract 39113003000 considered part of Walnut Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113003000 fall within Walnut Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113003000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 358 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113003000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.35% of renter households, peaking at 6.7% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39113003000 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39113003000 compare to Dayton overall?
Tract 39113003000 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Dayton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39113003000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dayton
Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Eagle Ridge
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
McPherson Town Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Walnut Hills
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Kossuth Colony Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113080700
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Eagle Ridge
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
South Park Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Kossuth Colony Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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