Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally
Moraine Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39113030200 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 2,799 · 87% of tract blocks fall in Moraine
Census tract 39113030200 covers part of Moraine, OH, and scores 5.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,799. 44% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,007
Renter share23.9%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate27.7%
Median income$64,821
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
National
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Moraine and the region
Centroid at 39.6917, -84.2622 · click any tract to drill in
Why Moraine scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Moraine
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
27.7% poverty · this tract
6.9
Supply constraint
$932 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Moraine
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Moraine
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Moraine
8.6
How Moraine compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 59%Socioeconomic
- 43%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 60%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 165Total filings over 17 yrs
- 4.41%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.1%Peak (2005)
- 9Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 36% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.6%Housing insecurity
- 11.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.6%Food insecurity
- 17.3%SNAP enrollment
- 10.3%Transit barriers
- 9.4%No health insurance
- 20.3%Frequent mental distress
- 34.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Moraine
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. Against Montgomery County at 42.9%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.6/10. Against the Montgomery County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points. The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.3/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 165 filings here across 17 tracked years. Average gross rent is $932, 10% below the Moraine average.
The worst year on record was 2005, when 11.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 24% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39113030200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113030200?
Census tract 39113030200 in Moraine scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39113030200?
Median gross rent is $932/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113030200?
27.7% of residents in tract 39113030200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,799.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113030200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 43th, minority 35th, housing 60th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113030200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 165 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113030200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.41% of renter households, peaking at 11.1% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39113030200 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39113030200 compare to Moraine overall?
Tract 39113030200 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Moraine at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Moraine; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Moraine
Top eight tracts in Moraine ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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