Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Crabtree Eviction Risk: Moderate , Muskogee
Tract 40101000902 ·
Muskogee County, OK · pop 4,644 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Tract 40101000902 sits in the Crabtree area of Muskogee eviction risk, OK, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.3/10. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%Stable renters 28%Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,902
Renter share50.9%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate25.4%
Median income$45,663
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Crabtree
Moderate
Within parent city
50th percentile
#7 of 13 tracts In Muskogee
Moderate
Within county
68th percentile
#7 of 20 tracts In Muskogee County
Elevated
Within state
70th percentile
#360 of 1,205 tracts In Oklahoma
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Muskogee and the region
Centroid at 35.7409, -95.3463 · click any tract to drill in
Why Crabtree scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Muskogee
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
25.4% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$841 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Muskogee
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Muskogee
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Muskogee
2.5
How Crabtree compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
84%Socioeconomic
97%Household composition
68%Racial/ethnic minority
94%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
20.1%Housing insecurity
16.3%Utility-shutoff threat
29.2%Food insecurity
28.3%SNAP enrollment
15.3%Transit barriers
15.4%No health insurance
21.4%Frequent mental distress
50.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Crabtree
Disability prevalence runs 50.8% against 31.5% nationally. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Food insecurity runs 29.2% against 17.8% nationally. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.5/10.
Against Muskogee County at 41.1%, 46% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the national scale it lands near the 47th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 9.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Muskogee County average of 3.8 closely. Average gross rent is $841, close to the Muskogee average. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $45,663.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 40101000902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40101000902?
Census tract 40101000902 in the Crabtree neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 40101000902?
Median gross rent is $841/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 40101000902?
25.4% of residents in tract 40101000902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,644.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 40101000902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 97th, minority 68th, housing 94th.
Q5
Is tract 40101000902 considered part of Crabtree?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40101000902 fall within Crabtree (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 40101000902 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 40101000902 compare to Muskogee overall?
Tract 40101000902 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Muskogee at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Muskogee eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Muskogee
Top eight tracts in Muskogee ranked by composite eviction-risk score.