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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

River Bend Eviction Risk: Moderate , Muskogee

Tract 40101000400 · Muskogee County, OK · pop 1,450 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 40101000400 covers part of the River Bend area of Muskogee, OK, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. 60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Muskogee County average of 41.1%.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 24% Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units582
Renter share60.1%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate48.8%
Median income$27,820

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In River Bend
Moderate
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 13 tracts In Muskogee
High
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 20 tracts In Muskogee County
High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#100 of 1,205 tracts In Oklahoma
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Muskogee and the region

Centroid at 35.7917, -95.3064 · click any tract to drill in

Why River Bend scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Muskogee
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
48.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$595 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Muskogee
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Muskogee
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Muskogee
2.5

How River Bend compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
River Bend risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 000400Muskogee: 3.43.4Muskogeeparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in River Bend

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. SNAP participation runs 42.3% against 15.2% nationally.

The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The poverty rate is 49%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

Average gross rent is $595, 31% below the Muskogee average. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.4/10.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 24.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. It sits 1.0 points above the Muskogee County average of 3.8. Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the OK average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 40101000400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40101000400?

Census tract 40101000400 in the River Bend neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 40101000400?

Median gross rent is $595/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 40101000400?

48.8% of residents in tract 40101000400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,450.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 40101000400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 93th, minority 74th, housing 99th.
Q5

Is tract 40101000400 considered part of River Bend?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40101000400 fall within River Bend (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 40101000400 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 40101000400 compare to Muskogee overall?

Tract 40101000400 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Muskogee at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Muskogee eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Muskogee

Top eight tracts in Muskogee ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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