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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Southgate Eviction Risk: Moderate , Muskogee

Tract 40101001000 · Muskogee County, OK · pop 1,626 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 40101001000 covers part of the Southgate area of Muskogee, OK, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,626 residents. 28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 30% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units674
Renter share52.5%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate29.8%
Median income$43,676

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Southgate
Moderate
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 13 tracts In Muskogee
Elevated
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 20 tracts In Muskogee County
High
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#283 of 1,205 tracts In Oklahoma
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Muskogee and the region

Centroid at 35.7212, -95.3986 · click any tract to drill in

Why Southgate scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Muskogee
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
29.8% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$724 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Muskogee
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Muskogee
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Muskogee
2.5

How Southgate compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Southgate risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 001000Muskogee: 3.43.4Muskogeeparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Southgate

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Food insecurity runs 33.6% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.5/10.

Housing insecurity runs 23.6% against 14.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $724, 16% below the Muskogee average.

It sits 0.8 points above the Muskogee County average of 3.8. On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.9/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

42% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $43,676.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 40101001000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40101001000?

Census tract 40101001000 in the Southgate neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 40101001000?

Median gross rent is $724/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 40101001000?

29.8% of residents in tract 40101001000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,626.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 40101001000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 70th, minority 68th, housing 78th.
Q5

Is tract 40101001000 considered part of Southgate?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40101001000 fall within Southgate (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 40101001000 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 40101001000 compare to Muskogee overall?

Tract 40101001000 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Muskogee at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Muskogee eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Muskogee

Top eight tracts in Muskogee ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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