Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Orchard Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Muskogee
Tract 40101000600 · Muskogee County, OK · pop 3,314 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 40101000600 covers part of the Orchard Park area of Muskogee, OK, and scores 3.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,314. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,346
Renter share30.4%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate16.8%
Median income$53,830
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
37
th percentile
Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Muskogee and the region
Centroid at 35.6835, -95.3667 · click any tract to drill in
Why Orchard Park scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Muskogee
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.8% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$944 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Muskogee
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Muskogee
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Muskogee
2.5
How Orchard Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 86
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 79%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.7%Housing insecurity
- 13.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.0%Food insecurity
- 20.5%SNAP enrollment
- 12.2%Transit barriers
- 11.6%No health insurance
- 19.8%Frequent mental distress
- 45.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Orchard Park
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Disability prevalence runs 45.8% against 31.5% nationally. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.5/10.
The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Average gross rent is $944, 10% above the Muskogee average. That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 39% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
It tracks the Muskogee County average of 3.8 closely. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $53,830.
30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 40101000600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40101000600?
Census tract 40101000600 in the Orchard Park neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 40101000600?
Median gross rent is $944/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 40101000600?
16.8% of residents in tract 40101000600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,314.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 40101000600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 88th, minority 69th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 40101000600 considered part of Orchard Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40101000600 fall within Orchard Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 40101000600 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 40101000600 compare to Muskogee overall?
Tract 40101000600 scores 3.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Muskogee at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Muskogee eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Muskogee
Top eight tracts in Muskogee ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OK
Nehemiah Homes
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OK
Highlands
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OK
River Bend
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OK
Oklahoma Addition
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OK
Southgate
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OK
Martin-Miller-Reid
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OK
Crabtree
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OK
40101001301
3.6
/ 10 · Low
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