Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Marlborough Eviction Risk: Lower , Broken Arrow
Tract 40145030407 ·
Wagoner County, OK · pop 3,832 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 40145030407 sits in the Marlborough area of Broken Arrow eviction risk, OK, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 3,832 residents. The voucher gap is 40.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%Stable renters 14%Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,186
Renter share22.8%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$106,300
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Marlborough
Moderate
Within parent city
54th percentile
#21 of 44 tracts In Broken Arrow
Moderate
Within county
33th percentile
#17 of 25 tracts In Wagoner County
Low
Within state
35th percentile
#781 of 1,205 tracts In Oklahoma
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Broken Arrow and the region
Centroid at 36.1140, -95.7555 · click any tract to drill in
Why Marlborough scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.5
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,654 rent vs county FMR
9.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0
How Marlborough compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 13
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
25%Socioeconomic
44%Household composition
63%Racial/ethnic minority
2%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
12.5%Housing insecurity
8.5%Utility-shutoff threat
13.9%Food insecurity
10.3%SNAP enrollment
7.6%Transit barriers
9.0%No health insurance
17.2%Frequent mental distress
30.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Marlborough
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 9/10.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.3/10. Average gross rent is $1,654, 25% above the Broken Arrow average. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
It sits 0.8 points below the Wagoner County average of 3.8. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 23% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.2/10.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
38% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 40145030407
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40145030407?
Census tract 40145030407 in the Marlborough neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 40145030407?
Median gross rent is $1,654/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 40145030407?
5.3% of residents in tract 40145030407 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,832.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 40145030407?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 44th, minority 63th, housing 2th.
Q5
Is tract 40145030407 considered part of Marlborough?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40145030407 fall within Marlborough (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 40145030407 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 40145030407 compare to Broken Arrow overall?
Tract 40145030407 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Broken Arrow at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Broken Arrow eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Broken Arrow
Top eight tracts in Broken Arrow ranked by composite eviction-risk score.