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Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally

Hartford Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Broken Arrow

Tract 40145030506 · Wagoner County, OK · pop 2,148 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 40145030506 covers part of the Hartford Park area of Broken Arrow, OK, and scores 3.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,148 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 26% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units978
Renter share39.5%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate9.7%
Median income$73,527

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Hartford Park
Very High
Within parent city
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 44 tracts In Broken Arrow
High
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 25 tracts In Wagoner County
Moderate
Within state
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#655 of 1,205 tracts In Oklahoma
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Broken Arrow and the region

Centroid at 36.0778, -95.7409 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hartford Park scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.5
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.7% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,234 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0

How Hartford Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hartford Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.43.4This tracttract 030506Broken Arrow: 3.23.2Broken Arrowparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Hartford Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hartford Park

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10.

Severe burden reaches 13%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Cost burden runs 33% here against 39.6% across Wagoner County.

On the national scale it lands near the 29th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the Wagoner County average of 3.8 closely. Average gross rent is $1,234, close to the Broken Arrow average. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $73,527.

39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 40145030506

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40145030506?

Census tract 40145030506 in the Hartford Park neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 40145030506?

Median gross rent is $1,234/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 40145030506?

9.7% of residents in tract 40145030506 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,148.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 40145030506?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 87th, minority 43th, housing 73th.
Q5

Is tract 40145030506 considered part of Hartford Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40145030506 fall within Hartford Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 40145030506 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 40145030506 compare to Broken Arrow overall?

Tract 40145030506 scores 3.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Broken Arrow at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Broken Arrow eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Broken Arrow

Top eight tracts in Broken Arrow ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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