Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

Stonegate Eviction Risk: Lower , Broken Arrow

Tract 40143009021 · Tulsa County, OK · pop 2,358 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 40143009021 covers part of the Stonegate area of Broken Arrow, OK, and scores 3.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,358 residents. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score

3.7

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 42% Owners 34%

Tract context

Occupied units1,134

Renter share65.5%

SVI overall0.63

Poverty rate14.4%

Median income$55,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Broken Arrow and the region

Centroid at 36.0812, -95.7661 · click any tract to drill in

Why Stonegate scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Broken Arrow

2.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.2

State political climate

Oklahoma legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

14.4% poverty · this tract

3.6

Supply constraint

$1,040 rent vs county FMR

3.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Broken Arrow

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Broken Arrow

1.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Broken Arrow

2.0

How Stonegate compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

67%Socioeconomic
50%Household composition
64%Racial/ethnic minority
52%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.7%Housing insecurity
9.4%Utility-shutoff threat
14.9%Food insecurity
11.6%SNAP enrollment
8.6%Transit barriers
9.4%No health insurance
18.2%Frequent mental distress
33.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Stonegate

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10.

66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. At $1,040 a month, rents run 21% under what the rest of Broken Arrow commands.

Cost burden runs 36% here against 40.3% across Tulsa County. That is riskier than roughly 35% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 6.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. It tracks the Tulsa County average of 3.7 closely.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $55,000.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 40143009021

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40143009021?

Census tract 40143009021 in the Stonegate neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 40143009021?

Median gross rent is $1,040/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 40143009021?

14.4% of residents in tract 40143009021 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,358.

How socially vulnerable is tract 40143009021?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 50th, minority 64th, housing 52th.

Is tract 40143009021 considered part of Stonegate?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40143009021 fall within Stonegate (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 40143009021 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 40143009021 compare to Broken Arrow overall?

Tract 40143009021 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Broken Arrow at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Broken Arrow eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Broken Arrow

Top eight tracts in Broken Arrow ranked by composite eviction-risk score.