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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Oak Creek Park Extended Eviction Risk: Moderate , Broken Arrow

Tract 40143007408 · Tulsa County, OK · pop 1,191 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 4.6/10, tract 40143007408 in the Oak Creek Park Extended area of Broken Arrow, OK reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,191 residents. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.9/10.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 24% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units576
Renter share53.8%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate39.7%
Median income$33,621

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Oak Creek Park Extended
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 44 tracts In Broken Arrow
Very High
Within county
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#63 of 208 tracts In Tulsa County
Elevated
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#283 of 1,205 tracts In Oklahoma
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Broken Arrow and the region

Centroid at 36.0549, -95.7716 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oak Creek Park Extended scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
39.7% poverty · this tract
9.9
Supply constraint
$800 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0

How Oak Creek Park Extended compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oak Creek Park Extended risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 007408Broken Arrow: 3.23.2Broken Arrowparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Oak Creek Park Extended. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oak Creek Park Extended

55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Tulsa County average of 40.3%. Average gross rent is $800, 39% below the Broken Arrow average. The poverty rate is 40%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

SNAP participation runs 29.9% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 29.3% against 17.8% nationally.

Against the Tulsa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 8.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 40143007408

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40143007408?

Census tract 40143007408 in the Oak Creek Park Extended neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 40143007408?

Median gross rent is $800/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 40143007408?

39.7% of residents in tract 40143007408 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,191.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 40143007408?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 74th, minority 33th, housing 65th.
Q5

Is tract 40143007408 considered part of Oak Creek Park Extended?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40143007408 fall within Oak Creek Park Extended (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 40143007408 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 40143007408 compare to Broken Arrow overall?

Tract 40143007408 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Broken Arrow at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Broken Arrow eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Broken Arrow

Top eight tracts in Broken Arrow ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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