Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

Oak Grove Addition Eviction Risk: Lower , Broken Arrow

Tract 40145030402 · Wagoner County, OK · pop 4,338 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 40145030402 sits in the Oak Grove Addition area of Broken Arrow eviction risk, OK, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.7/10. It is home to 4,338 residents. Average gross rent is $782, 41% below the Broken Arrow average.

Risk score

3.7

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 5% Owners 93%

Tract context

Occupied units1,633

Renter share6.3%

SVI overall0.52

Poverty rate10.7%

Median income$68,365

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Broken Arrow and the region

Centroid at 36.1116, -95.6770 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oak Grove Addition scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Broken Arrow

2.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

2.5

State political climate

Oklahoma legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

10.7% poverty · this tract

2.7

Supply constraint

$782 rent vs county FMR

1.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Broken Arrow

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Broken Arrow

1.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Broken Arrow

2.0

How Oak Grove Addition compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 52

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

52%Socioeconomic
81%Household composition
45%Racial/ethnic minority
28%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.3%Housing insecurity
8.2%Utility-shutoff threat
15.0%Food insecurity
12.2%SNAP enrollment
7.9%Transit barriers
9.1%No health insurance
16.4%Frequent mental distress
38.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oak Grove Addition

Against Wagoner County at 39.6%, 25% of renters here are cost-burdened. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the national scale it lands near the 35th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 6% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $68,365, annual rent is just 14%.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Wagoner County average of 3.8 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 40145030402

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40145030402?

Census tract 40145030402 in the Oak Grove Addition neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 40145030402?

Median gross rent is $782/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 40145030402?

10.7% of residents in tract 40145030402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,338.

How socially vulnerable is tract 40145030402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 81th, minority 45th, housing 28th.

Is tract 40145030402 considered part of Oak Grove Addition?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40145030402 fall within Oak Grove Addition (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 40145030402 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 40145030402 compare to Broken Arrow overall?

Tract 40145030402 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Broken Arrow at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Broken Arrow eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Broken Arrow

Top eight tracts in Broken Arrow ranked by composite eviction-risk score.