Within parent city
81
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally
Broken Arrow Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 40143007415 · Tulsa County, OK · pop 1,532
Census tract 40143007415 covers part of Broken Arrow, OK, and scores 3.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,532 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units588
Renter share32.0%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate13.5%
Median income$78,269
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
38
th percentile
Low
National
22
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Broken Arrow and the region
Centroid at 36.0537, -95.8064 · click any tract to drill in
Why Broken Arrow scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.5% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,391 rent vs county FMR
6.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0
How Broken Arrow compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 64%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 19%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.9%Housing insecurity
- 10.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.6%Food insecurity
- 13.5%SNAP enrollment
- 9.0%Transit barriers
- 10.0%No health insurance
- 19.0%Frequent mental distress
- 37.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Broken Arrow
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
The voucher gap is 18.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Against the Tulsa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points. Nationally it ranks #65,414 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 5.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 44% of renters.
Average gross rent is $1,391, close to the Broken Arrow average. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $78,269.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 40143007415
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40143007415?
Census tract 40143007415 in Broken Arrow scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 40143007415?
Median gross rent is $1,391/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 40143007415?
13.5% of residents in tract 40143007415 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,532.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 40143007415?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 50th, minority 48th, housing 19th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 40143007415 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 40143007415 compare to Broken Arrow overall?
Tract 40143007415 scores 3.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Broken Arrow at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Broken Arrow eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Broken Arrow
Top eight tracts in Broken Arrow ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OK
Oak Creek Park Extended
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OK
Oak Creek Park Extended
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OK
40143007414
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OK
Stonegate
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OK
Oak Grove Addition
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OK
Woodland Trails
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OK
40143007510
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OK
Hartford Park
3.4
/ 10 · Low
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