Neighborhood · Ranked #66,742 of 84,120 nationally

Turnberry Eviction Risk: Lower , Broken Arrow

Tract 40145030408 · Wagoner County, OK · pop 2,293 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

With a score of 3.8/10, tract 40145030408 in Turnberry in Broken Arrow ranks in the Lower tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,293 residents. That is riskier than roughly 9% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 43% of renter households, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,644 a month against an average household income of $80,852 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 12% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

2.5

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 7% Owners 88%

Tract context

Occupied units827

Renter share12.5%

SVI overall0.47

Poverty rate7.9%

Median income$80,852

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Broken Arrow and the region

Centroid at 36.1121, -95.7342 · click any tract to drill in

Why Turnberry scores 2.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Broken Arrow

2.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

2.5

State political climate

Oklahoma legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

7.9% poverty · this tract

2.0

Supply constraint

$1,644 rent vs county FMR

8.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Broken Arrow

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Broken Arrow

1.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Broken Arrow

2.0

How Turnberry compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 47

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

66%Socioeconomic
76%Household composition
57%Racial/ethnic minority
8%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.0%Housing insecurity
8.9%Utility-shutoff threat
16.0%Food insecurity
12.2%SNAP enrollment
8.5%Transit barriers
10.1%No health insurance
17.7%Frequent mental distress
35.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Turnberry

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 8.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Broken Arrow eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Wagoner County average of 4.0 and in line with the Oklahoma statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is White and multiracial or other-race and ranks around the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 13.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 40145030408

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40145030408?

Census tract 40145030408 in the Turnberry neighborhood scores 2.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 40145030408?

Median gross rent is $1,644/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 40145030408?

7.9% of residents in tract 40145030408 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,293.

How socially vulnerable is tract 40145030408?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 76th, minority 57th, housing 8th.

Is tract 40145030408 considered part of Turnberry?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40145030408 fall within Turnberry (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 40145030408 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 40145030408 compare to Broken Arrow overall?

Tract 40145030408 scores 2.5/10, higher than the parent city of Broken Arrow at 1.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Broken Arrow eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Broken Arrow

Top eight tracts in Broken Arrow ranked by composite eviction-risk score.