Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally

Turnberry Eviction Risk: Lower , Broken Arrow

Tract 40145030408 · Wagoner County, OK · pop 2,293 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 40145030408 covers part of the Turnberry area of Broken Arrow, OK, and scores 3.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,293. The voucher gap is 39.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Risk score

3.1

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 7% Owners 88%

Tract context

Occupied units827

Renter share12.5%

SVI overall0.47

Poverty rate7.9%

Median income$80,852

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Broken Arrow and the region

Centroid at 36.1121, -95.7342 · click any tract to drill in

Why Turnberry scores 3.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Broken Arrow

2.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

2.5

State political climate

Oklahoma legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

7.9% poverty · this tract

2.0

Supply constraint

$1,644 rent vs county FMR

8.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Broken Arrow

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Broken Arrow

1.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Broken Arrow

2.0

How Turnberry compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 47

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

66%Socioeconomic
76%Household composition
57%Racial/ethnic minority
8%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.0%Housing insecurity
8.9%Utility-shutoff threat
16.0%Food insecurity
12.2%SNAP enrollment
8.5%Transit barriers
10.1%No health insurance
17.7%Frequent mental distress
35.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Turnberry

Severe burden reaches 31%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the high side, supply constraint reads 8.9/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. At $1,644 a month, rents run 25% over what the rest of Broken Arrow commands. Against the Wagoner County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.

On the national scale it lands near the 22nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 12% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.2/10.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 43% of renters. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $80,852.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 40145030408

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40145030408?

Census tract 40145030408 in the Turnberry neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 40145030408?

Median gross rent is $1,644/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 40145030408?

7.9% of residents in tract 40145030408 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,293.

How socially vulnerable is tract 40145030408?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 76th, minority 57th, housing 8th.

Is tract 40145030408 considered part of Turnberry?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40145030408 fall within Turnberry (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 40145030408 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 40145030408 compare to Broken Arrow overall?

Tract 40145030408 scores 3.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Broken Arrow at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Broken Arrow eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Broken Arrow

Top eight tracts in Broken Arrow ranked by composite eviction-risk score.