Neighborhood · Ranked #72,539 of 84,120 nationally

Forest Highlands Eviction Risk: Lower , Lake Oswego

Tract 41005020101 · Clackamas County, OR · pop 2,381 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi

How risky is the Forest Highlands neighborhood of Lake Oswego for landlords? Census tract 41005020101 scores 5.9/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 71st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 61% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 54% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,783 a month against an average household income of $101,528 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

2.1

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 19% Owners 51%

Tract context

Occupied units1,172

Renter share49.7%

SVI overall0.16

Poverty rate6.0%

Median income$101,528

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Oswego and the region

Centroid at 45.4287, -122.6918 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forest Highlands scores 2.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lake Oswego

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.6

State political climate

Oregon legislature & governorship

7.2

Economic stress

6.0% poverty · this tract

1.5

Supply constraint

$1,783 rent vs county FMR

3.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lake Oswego

6.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lake Oswego

6.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lake Oswego

4.4

How Forest Highlands compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

49%Socioeconomic
4%Household composition
25%Racial/ethnic minority
14%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

1%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forest Highlands

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 7.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lake Oswego eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Clackamas County average of 5.8 and in line with the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 16th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of A ("Best"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 41005020101

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41005020101?

Census tract 41005020101 in the Forest Highlands neighborhood scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 41005020101?

Median gross rent is $1,783/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 41005020101?

6.0% of residents in tract 41005020101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,381.

How socially vulnerable is tract 41005020101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 4th, minority 25th, housing 14th.

Is tract 41005020101 considered part of Forest Highlands?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41005020101 fall within Forest Highlands (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 41005020101 compare to Lake Oswego overall?

Tract 41005020101 scores 2.1/10, lower than the parent city of Lake Oswego at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Oswego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 41005020101 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lake Oswego

Top eight tracts in Lake Oswego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.