Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Lake Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lake Oswego
Tract 41005020302 ·
Clackamas County, OR · pop 4,529 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 41005020302 covers part of the Lake Forest area of Lake Oswego, OR, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,529 residents. Against Clackamas County at 50.1%, 33% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%Stable renters 31%Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,937
Renter share46.2%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate2.8%
Median income$129,219
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Lake Forest
Moderate
Within parent city
40th percentile
#7 of 11 tracts In Lake Oswego
Moderate
Within county
28th percentile
#63 of 87 tracts In Clackamas County
Low
Within state
19th percentile
#807 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lake Oswego and the region
Centroid at 45.4107, -122.7335 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lake Forest scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lake Oswego
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
2.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,847 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Oswego
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Oswego
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Oswego
4.4
How Lake Forest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
9%Socioeconomic
21%Household composition
51%Racial/ethnic minority
41%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
117Total filings over 6 yrs
3.01%Avg annual filing rate
4.6%Peak (2007)
22Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year2007 to 2013
Filings dropped 15% over the past 6 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lake Forest
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.3/10.
19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running hot, state political climate reads 7.2/10. Court records carry 117 eviction filings across 6 observed years.
Against the Clackamas County average of 5.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. Average gross rent is $1,847, 14% below the Lake Oswego average.
Adults with no health insurance runs 4.1% against 11.3% nationally. The worst year on record was 2007, when 4.6% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 3.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 41005020302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41005020302?
Census tract 41005020302 in the Lake Forest neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41005020302?
Median gross rent is $1,847/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41005020302?
2.8% of residents in tract 41005020302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,529.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41005020302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 21th, minority 51th, housing 41th.
Q5
Is tract 41005020302 considered part of Lake Forest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41005020302 fall within Lake Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41005020302?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 117 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 41005020302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.01% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 41005020302 compare to Lake Oswego overall?
Tract 41005020302 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Lake Oswego at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Oswego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lake Oswego
Top eight tracts in Lake Oswego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.