Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #80,791 of 84,120 nationally
Lake Forest Eviction Risk: Lower , Lake Oswego
Tract 41005020302 · Clackamas County, OR · pop 4,529 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 41005020302 (the Lake Forest neighborhood of Lake Oswego, Oregon) comes in at 5.4/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #40,169 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 33% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,847 a month while the average household earns $129,219 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 46% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,937
Renter share46.2%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate2.8%
Median income$129,219
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
30
th percentile
Low
Within county
6
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
1
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lake Oswego and the region
Centroid at 45.4107, -122.7335 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lake Forest scores 1.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lake Oswego
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
2.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,847 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Oswego
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Oswego
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Oswego
4.4
How Lake Forest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 9%Socioeconomic
- 21%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 41%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 117Total filings over 6 yrs
- 3.01%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.6%Peak (2007)
- 22Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 15% over the past 6 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lake Forest
What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 7.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lake Oswego eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Clackamas County average of 5.8 and below the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 117 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 3.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.6% of renter households in 2007.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 41005020302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41005020302?
Census tract 41005020302 in the Lake Forest neighborhood scores 1.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41005020302?
Median gross rent is $1,847/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41005020302?
2.8% of residents in tract 41005020302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,529.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41005020302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 21th, minority 51th, housing 41th.
Q5
Is tract 41005020302 considered part of Lake Forest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41005020302 fall within Lake Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41005020302?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 117 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 41005020302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.01% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 41005020302 compare to Lake Oswego overall?
Tract 41005020302 scores 1.3/10, lower than the parent city of Lake Oswego at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Oswego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lake Oswego
Top eight tracts in Lake Oswego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Forest Highlands
2.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OR
North Shore Country Club
1.9
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · OR
Rosewood
1.5
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · OR
Holly Orchard
1.4
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · OR
Uplands
1.4
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · OR
Westlake
1.3
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · OR
Westridge
1.3
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · OR
Palisades
1.3
/ 10 · Very Low
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