Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Holly Orchard Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lake Oswego
Tract 41005020303 · Clackamas County, OR · pop 5,217 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 41005020303 covers part of the Holly Orchard area of Lake Oswego, OR, and scores 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,217. Severe burden reaches 34%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units2,286
Renter share36.5%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate2.0%
Median income$125,201
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
33
th percentile
Low
Within state
21
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lake Oswego and the region
Centroid at 45.4260, -122.7163 · click any tract to drill in
Why Holly Orchard scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lake Oswego
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
2.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,990 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Oswego
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Oswego
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Oswego
4.4
How Holly Orchard compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 29
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 4%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 55%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 251Total filings over 6 yrs
- 3.39%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.4%Peak (2010)
- 26Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 43% over the past 6 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Holly Orchard
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.3/10. 45% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Clackamas County average of 50.1%.
Running hot, state political climate reads 7.2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 251 filings here across 6 tracked years.
Adults with no health insurance runs 3.6% against 11.3% nationally. It sits 0.7 points below the Clackamas County average of 5.6. Filings peaked in 2010 at 4.4% of renter households.
In a typical year about 3.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #34,278 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 3.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 41005020303
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41005020303?
Census tract 41005020303 in the Holly Orchard neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41005020303?
Median gross rent is $1,990/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41005020303?
2.0% of residents in tract 41005020303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,217.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41005020303?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 71th, minority 42th, housing 55th.
Q5
Is tract 41005020303 considered part of Holly Orchard?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41005020303 fall within Holly Orchard (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41005020303?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 251 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 41005020303 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.39% of renter households, peaking at 4.4% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 41005020303 compare to Lake Oswego overall?
Tract 41005020303 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Lake Oswego at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Oswego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lake Oswego
Top eight tracts in Lake Oswego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Forest Highlands
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
North Shore Country Club
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Rosewood
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OR
Uplands
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OR
First Addition
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OR
Lake Forest
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OR
Hallinan
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OR
Westlake
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
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