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Neighborhood · Lake Oswego, OR

Holly Orchard Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 5,217 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 4.9–4.9

Holly Orchard maps to a single census tract in Lake Oswego, OR and houses 5,217 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.9/10, Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 45% against 28.9% citywide, putting Holly Orchard 16.3% over its own city.

34% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10.

The filing record is not thin: 251 evictions logged in this tract. On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 7.1/10.

The worst year on record was 2010, when filings touched 4.4% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 1.8% in 2013, is well off that peak.

At $1,990 a month, rents sit 7% under what the rest of Lake Oswego commands. Among the 11 mapped neighborhoods of Lake Oswego, it ranks #4 by risk, the middle third.

Rent takes 19% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.9/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Holly Orchard vs Lake Oswego How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
45.2% +56%
Lake Oswego: 28.9%
Average gross rent
$1,990 -7%
Lake Oswego: $2,139
Average HH income
$125,201 -11%
Lake Oswego: $140,441
Poverty rate
2.0% -36%
Lake Oswego: 3.1%
Renter share
36.5% +19%
Lake Oswego: 30.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Holly Orchard and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.9–4.9

Why Holly Orchard scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Tenant organizing strength
37% renter households · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Economic stress
2.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Risk score comparison

Holly Orchard vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Holly Orchard score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.9Holly OrchardNeighborhood6.0Parent cityhost city6.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Holly Orchard

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
41005020303 4.9 5,217 45% $1,990
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 29

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 4%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 71%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 42%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 55%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Holly Orchard

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 251Total filings (sum)
  • 3.39%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.4%Peak year (2010)
  • 1.83%Latest filed (2013)
Frequently asked

About Holly Orchard

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Holly Orchard?

Holly Orchard scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Holly Orchard compare to Lake Oswego overall?

Holly Orchard scores 1.1 points lower than Lake Oswego overall (6/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,990 vs $2,139.
Q3

What is the average rent in Holly Orchard?

Average gross rent in Holly Orchard is $1,990/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Holly Orchard residents are renters?

37% of Holly Orchard households are renter-occupied (vs 31% in Lake Oswego). The neighborhood has 5,217 residents.
Q5

Is Holly Orchard a high social-vulnerability area?

Holly Orchard sits in the 29th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Holly Orchard for landlords?

Holly Orchard carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lake Oswego as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Holly Orchard?

Holly Orchard has 4,963 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (77.1%), Other / Multiracial (7.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (7.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Holly Orchard

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lake Oswego

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Holly Orchard.

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