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Neighborhood · Ranked #79,998 of 84,120 nationally

Holly Orchard Eviction Risk: Lower , Lake Oswego

Tract 41005020303 · Clackamas County, OR · pop 5,217 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

For landlords sizing up the Holly Orchard neighborhood of Lake Oswego, census tract 41005020303 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.8/10. That is riskier than about 67% of US census tracts.

45% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,990 a month against an average household income of $125,201 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 37% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 20% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units2,286
Renter share36.5%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate2.0%
Median income$125,201

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Holly Orchard
Moderate
Within parent city
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 11 tracts In Lake Oswego
Elevated
Within county
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#79 of 87 tracts In Clackamas County
Very Low
Within state
2 th percentile
Rank, 2nd percentileLowHigh
#975 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Oswego and the region

Centroid at 45.4260, -122.7163 · click any tract to drill in

Why Holly Orchard scores 1.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lake Oswego
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
2.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,990 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Oswego
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Oswego
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Oswego
4.4

How Holly Orchard compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Holly Orchard risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.41.4This tracttract 020303Lake Oswego: 7.07.0Lake Oswegoparent cityCounty: 3.13.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 29

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 251Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 3.39%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.4%Peak (2010)
  • 26Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2007 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 410050203032007: 46 filings (4.11/100 renter HHs)2008: 39 filings (3.48/100 renter HHs)2009: 32 filings (2.86/100 renter HHs)2010: 56 filings (4.38/100 renter HHs)2012: 52 filings (3.66/100 renter HHs)2013: 26 filings (1.83/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 43% over the past 6 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Holly Orchard

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 7.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lake Oswego eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Clackamas County average of 5.8 and in line with the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 29th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 251 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 3.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.4% of renter households in 2010.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 41005020303

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41005020303?

Census tract 41005020303 in the Holly Orchard neighborhood scores 1.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41005020303?

Median gross rent is $1,990/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41005020303?

2.0% of residents in tract 41005020303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,217.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41005020303?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 71th, minority 42th, housing 55th.
Q5

Is tract 41005020303 considered part of Holly Orchard?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41005020303 fall within Holly Orchard (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41005020303?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 251 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 41005020303 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.39% of renter households, peaking at 4.4% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 41005020303 compare to Lake Oswego overall?

Tract 41005020303 scores 1.4/10, lower than the parent city of Lake Oswego at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Oswego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lake Oswego

Top eight tracts in Lake Oswego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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