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Neighborhood · Bend, OR

Larkspur Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 11,900 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7/10 · range 6.5–7.5

Larkspur spans 2 census tracts of Bend, OR and houses 11,900 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 51% against 29.3% citywide, putting Larkspur 22.1% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 21%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Scores across the 2 constituent tracts range from 6.5 to 7.5. A 1-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 7/10. The poverty rate is 19%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

At $1,713 a month, rents sit 9% under what the rest of Bend commands. Among the 11 mapped neighborhoods of Bend, it ranks #2 by risk, the upper third. For a like-for-like read, River Rim and Orchard District score within a fraction of it.

Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $70,353. 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Larkspur vs Bend How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
51.4% +75%
Bend: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,713 -9%
Bend: $1,883
Average HH income
$70,353 -21%
Bend: $88,792
Poverty rate
18.8% +99%
Bend: 9.5%
Renter share
48.3% +26%
Bend: 38.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Larkspur and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 6.5–7.5

Why Larkspur scores 7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Rent control risk
51% of income on rent · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
48% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
18.8% below poverty line · Range 3.0–6.7 across tracts
4.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.2–7.1 across tracts
5.3
Risk score comparison

Larkspur vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Larkspur score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.0LarkspurNeighborhood6.1Parent cityhost city6.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Larkspur

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
41017001802 7.5 5,560 50% $1,363
41017001903 6.5 6,340 53% $2,020
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 65

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 60%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 46%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 32%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 86%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Larkspur

Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 224Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.4Avg monthly observed
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System ().

Frequently asked

About Larkspur

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Larkspur?

Larkspur scores 7/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Larkspur compare to Bend overall?

Larkspur scores 0.9 points higher than Bend overall (6.1/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,713 vs $1,883.
Q3

What is the average rent in Larkspur?

Average gross rent in Larkspur is $1,713/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Larkspur residents are renters?

48% of Larkspur households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in Bend). The neighborhood has 11,900 residents.
Q5

Is Larkspur a high social-vulnerability area?

Larkspur sits in the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Larkspur have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Larkspur is census tract 41017001802 (score 7.5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.5 to 7.5, a spread of 1 points.
Q7

How safe is Larkspur for landlords?

Larkspur carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bend as a whole (6.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Larkspur?

Larkspur has 11,847 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (77.5%), Hispanic / Latino (15.2%), Other / Multiracial (5.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Larkspur

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bend

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Larkspur.

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