Neighborhood · Bend, OR

Orchard District Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 14,733 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.3/10 · range 4–4.7

Orchard District is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Bend with 4 census tracts and a population of 14,733 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 52% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 24% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,593/month sits 15% lower than the Bend citywide average ($1,883).

Risk score

4.3

Moderate

4 tracts · population-weighted

Orchard District vs Bend How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

51.9% +77%

Bend: 29.3%

Average gross rent

$1,593 -15%

Bend: $1,883

Average HH income

$70,947 -20%

Bend: $88,792

Poverty rate

10.3% +9%

Bend: 9.5%

Renter share

63.0% +64%

Bend: 38.3%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Orchard District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 4–4.7

Why Orchard District scores 4.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts

7.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts

5.4

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Rent control risk

52% of income on rent · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

63% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Economic stress

10.3% below poverty line · Range 1.8–3.5 across tracts

2.6

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.6–5.1 across tracts

4.6

Risk score comparison

Orchard District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Orchard District?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.7 points from 4 to 4.7. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

4.7 4.2 4.2 4.0

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

4 tracts in Orchard District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
41017001601	4.7	4,643	50%	$1,659
41017001801	4.2	4,375	51%	$1,689
41017001702	4.2	3,831	54%	$1,479
41017001602	4	1,884	54%	$1,441

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 42

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 48%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 25%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 24%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 49%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Orchard District

Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

484Total filings 2020-21
2.6Avg monthly observed
0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
0.00×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System ().

Frequently asked

About Orchard District

What is the eviction-risk score for Orchard District?

Orchard District scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Orchard District compare to Bend overall?

Orchard District scores 2.2 points lower than Bend overall (6.5/10). Renters spend 52% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,593 vs $1,883.

What is the average rent in Orchard District?

Average gross rent in Orchard District is $1,593/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Orchard District residents are renters?

63% of Orchard District households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in Bend). The neighborhood has 14,733 residents.

Is Orchard District a high social-vulnerability area?

Orchard District sits in the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Orchard District have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Orchard District is census tract 41017001601 (score 4.7/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4 to 4.7, a spread of 0.7 points.

How safe is Orchard District for landlords?

Orchard District carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.3/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bend as a whole (6.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Orchard District?

Orchard District has 14,872 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (86.2%), Other / Multiracial (7%), Hispanic / Latino (5.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Orchard District

5.1 Larkspur 2 tracts · pop 11,900 3.7 Old Bend 2 tracts · pop 3,721 3.6 Southeast Bend 2 tracts · pop 10,803 3.3 Southwest Bend 2 tracts · pop 9,276

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bend

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Orchard District.

4.4 River Rim 1 tracts · pop 4,841 4.1 Mountain View 1 tracts · pop 5,086 4.1 Southeast Bend 2 tracts · pop 10,803 3.7 Old Bend 2 tracts · pop 3,721 5 Larkspur 2 tracts · pop 11,900 3.5 Summit West 1 tracts · pop 8,139

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